Centene Corp
Q1 2026 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +6.29%.
Did CNC Beat Earnings? Q1 2026 Results
Centene Corp delivered a blowout first quarter for 2026, posting adjusted diluted EPS of $3.37 against a Wall Street consensus of $2.13, a beat of 57.90% that reflected broad-based outperformance across its major business segments. Revenue climbed 7.1% year-over-year to $49.94 billion, clearing the $47.55 billion consensus estimate by 5.03%, as premium and service revenues grew 5% to $44.66 billion. The single most material driver of the upside was a meaningful improvement in the Medicare segment health benefits ratio, which tightened to 84.9% from 86.3% a year ago, aided by stronger-than-expected results in both Medicare Advantage and PDP and the absence of a premium deficiency reserve charge that had weighed on year-ago results. Medicaid HBR also improved modestly to 93.1%, and SG&A discipline pushed that ratio down to 7.6% from 7.9%. The strong quarter prompted management to raise full-year 2026 guidance, lifting adjusted EPS to greater than $3.40 and increasing total revenue guidance to a range of $187.50 billion to $191.50 billion, even as broader industry headwinds from ACA subsidy uncertainty continue to reshape the competitive landscape.
- Medicaid HBR improvement to 93.1% from 93.6% driven by rate increases, medical cost management, and moderate flu
- Medicare segment HBR improvement to 84.9% from 86.3% with outperformance in both Medicare Advantage and PDP
- SG&A expense ratio improved to 7.6% from 7.9% through cost discipline and favorable business mix
- Premium yield and PDP membership growth driving revenue increases
- State-directed payments and rate increases to address medical trend in Medicaid
- No premium deficiency reserve in Q1 2026 vs. PDR charge in Q1 2025 for Medicare Advantage
- Strong operating cash flow of $4.4 billion
“We continue to make tangible progress in our margin recovery efforts while strengthening the fundamental operations of each of our businesses.”
Centene CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Centene raised its full-year 2026 guidance. GAAP diluted EPS is now expected to be greater than $2.37 (up from prior guidance), and adjusted diluted EPS is now expected to be greater than $3.40. Premium and service revenues guidance was increased by $1.0 billion to a range of $171.0 billion to $175.0 billion, driven by Medicaid. Total revenues are expected in the range of $187.5 billion to $191.5 billion. Investment and other income expectation was raised by $50 million to $1.45 billion. Full-year HBR is guided at 90.9% to 91.7%, SG&A expense ratio at 7.0% to 7.6%, effective tax rate at 27.0% to 28.0%, and diluted shares outstanding of approximately 495.6 million to 498.6 million.
CNC YoY Financials
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Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.