Centene Corp
Q1 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +6.74%.
Did CNC Beat Earnings? Q1 2025 Results
Centene opened 2025 with a standout quarter, posting adjusted diluted EPS of $2.90 against a consensus estimate of $2.52, a beat of 15.27%, while revenue of $46.62 billion topped expectations by 7.80% and climbed 15.4% from the year-ago period. The driving force behind the outperformance was a 29% surge in Marketplace membership to 5.63 million enrollees, which propelled premium and service revenues to $42.49 billion and helped swing operating cash flow to a positive $1.51 billion from negative $456 million a year earlier. Medicaid costs drew some investor attention, with the Medicaid health benefits ratio rising to 93.6% from 90.9%, largely due to elevated influenza-related claims, though improved Medicare HBR of 86.3% provided a meaningful offset. On the strength of Marketplace enrollment momentum and Medicare Advantage retention, Centene raised its full-year premium and service revenue guidance by $6 billion to a range of $164 billion to $166 billion, while reiterating its adjusted diluted EPS floor of greater than $7.25 for the full year.
- 17% year-over-year premium and service revenue growth driven by PDP business expansion and Marketplace growth
- 29% year-over-year membership growth in Marketplace to 5,626,000 members
- 22% year-over-year Medicare PDP membership growth to 7,867,800 members
- Adjusted diluted EPS of $2.90 representing 28% year-over-year growth
- SG&A expense ratio improvement to 7.9% from 8.9% driven by operating leverage
- Medicare HBR improvement to 86.3% from 90.8% due to Inflation Reduction Act Part D program changes
- Operating cash flow of $1.5 billion driven by net earnings and increase in medical claims liabilities
“Our first quarter results demonstrate the resiliency of Centene's platform and the progress we are making as an organization while navigating a dynamic policy landscape.”
Centene CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Centene increased its 2025 premium and service revenues guidance by $6.0 billion to a range of $164.0 billion to $166.0 billion, driven by $5.0 billion of additional Marketplace premium revenue from enrollment outperformance and $1.0 billion of additional Medicare Advantage premium revenue from retention during annual enrollment. Total revenues guidance is $178.5 billion to $181.5 billion. The company reiterated its 2025 GAAP diluted EPS guidance floor of greater than $6.19 and adjusted diluted EPS guidance floor of greater than $7.25. Full-year HBR is expected at 88.9% to 89.5%, SG&A expense ratio of 7.7%, adjusted effective tax rate of 22.0%, and diluted shares outstanding of approximately 491 million.
CNC YoY Financials
CNC Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.