Q1 25 EPS
$0.20
BEAT +173.45%
Est. $-0.27
Q1 25 Revenue
$504.3M
BEAT +3.52%
Est. $487.1M
vs S&P Since Q1 25
+48.7%
BEATING MARKET
RUN +78.5% vs S&P +29.8%
Market Reaction
Did RUN Beat Earnings? Q1 2025 Results
Sunrun posted a decisive earnings beat in Q1 2025, swinging to a profit that left Wall Street estimates far behind as the residential solar company demonstrated that its subscription-heavy business model is gaining financial traction. The company rep… Read more Sunrun posted a decisive earnings beat in Q1 2025, swinging to a profit that left Wall Street estimates far behind as the residential solar company demonstrated that its subscription-heavy business model is gaining financial traction. The company reported earnings per share of $0.20, clearing the consensus estimate of negative $0.27 by 173.45%, while revenue climbed 10.1% year-over-year to $504.27 million, edging past the $487.14 million analyst expectation by 3.52%. The primary engine behind the results was a 25% surge in customer agreements and incentives revenue to $402.92 million, reflecting Sunrun's deliberate pivot toward long-term contracted recurring income. Storage momentum also stood out, with the attachment rate hitting a record 69% and storage capacity installed jumping 61% to 334 megawatt hours. Net Earning Assets expanded to $6.83 billion, or $30.02 per share, underscoring balance sheet progress. Looking ahead, Sunrun reiterated full-year 2025 Cash Generation guidance of $200 million to $500 million and expects to reduce recourse debt by at least $100 million during the year.
Key Takeaways
- • Record 69% Storage Attachment Rate, up from 50% in prior year
- • Customer Additions with Storage grew 46% year-over-year
- • Storage Capacity Installed grew 61% year-over-year to 334 MWh
- • Subscriber Value increased 15% year-over-year to $52,206 per subscriber
- • Higher average Investment Tax Credit of 43.6% vs 35.2% in prior year
- • Shift toward subscription model with revenue recognized over 20-25 year contract terms
- • Subscriber Additions grew 7% year-over-year to 23,692
RUN YoY Financials
Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024, source: SEC Filings
RUN Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
“The first quarter was another strong quarter for Sunrun as we exceeded our volume and Cash Generation targets by significant margins in what is seasonally the slowest quarter of the year. We are focused on delivering the best product for customers, underwriting volumes with strong unit margins, optimizing our routes to market, and driving cost discipline, including leveraging AI for innovation, creating significant operating efficiencies and quality enhancement. This has allowed us to gain market share in recent periods and produce strong operating and financial results.”
— Mary Powell, Q1 2025 Earnings Press Release
RUN Earnings Trends
RUN vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
RUN EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
RUN Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
RUN Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 BEAT | $-0.05 | $0.62 | +1,231.39% | $722.2M | +13.10% |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $-0.06 | $0.38 | +699.37% | $1.16B | +89.88% |
| FY Full Year | $1.35 | $1.71 | +26.37% | $2.96B | +23.21% |
| Q3 25 MISS | $0.12 | $0.06 | -48.72% | $724.6M | +20.53% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $-0.12 | $1.07 | +1,030.43% | $569.3M | +1.62% |
| Q1 25 BEAT | $-0.27 | $0.20 | +173.45% | $504.3M | +3.52% |