More Good News From Forecasters, S&P At 400
James Tobin won the Nobel prize for economics in 1969. By his measurement of the stock market, the S&P has a very long way to drop. Keep in mind that there are nuts everywhere making predictions. According to Bloomberg, Tobin’s…
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James Tobin won the Nobel prize for economics in 1969. By his measurement of the stock market, the S&P has a very long way to drop. Keep in mind that there are nuts everywhere making predictions.
According to Bloomberg, Tobin’s Q ratio, which compares the market value of companies to the cost of their constituent parts, indicates the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is still too expensive relative to the cost of replacing assets. While the 39 percent drop in the S&P this year pushed equity prices below replacement cost, history suggests the ratio must sink further as deflation sets in. The S&P may plunge another 55 percent to a trough of 400 by 2014.
Douglas A. McIntyre
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Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.
McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.
His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.
A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.
TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.
McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.
