Analysts Defend Alliance Data Systems After Earnings (ADS)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Alliance Data Systems Corp. (NYSE: ADS) is seeing shares surge in pre-market trading this morning.  Alliance is suing Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) over the likely merger failure.  Alliance also posted its earnings yesterday after the close.

The company posted a 14% drop in earnings after losses from a business unit sale and from its failed buyout.  It made $0.42 EPS, down from $0.48 EPS the year before on a net basis, but it posted $0.93 cash earnings versus a $0.93 estimates.  Revenues were up about 15% to $602.7 million, while estimates were looking for almost $601 million.

Alliance also maintained its stance that it could clearly generate double-digit organic growth in both operating and adjusted EBITDA.  The company noted a "combined impact of double-digit organic growth, reductions in capital expenditures and the implementation of additional free cash flow initiatives" will all result in a significant increase in cash flow during 2008. 

Analysts are defending the stock this morning.  There are upgrades from both Bear Stearns and JMP Securities raising ratings to "Outperform" and SunTrust Robinson Humphrey is raising its rating to a Buy from Neutral.  Shares closed at $42.70 yesterday and shares are up over 8% pre-market at $46.40 in early trading.  This was cut in half after the failed Blackstone buyout and the 52-week trading range is $39.54 to $80.79.

Jon C. Ogg
January 31, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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