No Recovery In Europe Means No Recovery Elsewhere

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published

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The GDP of the Euro-zone is larger that that of the US and it is in just as much trouble. In the 16-nation alliance GDP dropped 4.6% last quarter. Germany’s GDP fell more than it has in decades.

The news is not just bad for Europe. Because of the size of its consumer and business spending pool, an economic catastrophe in the region means that exports from the US and China will remain crippled, which, in turn will undermine any GDP growth in the two large nations.

Whatever optimism experts had during the last several weeks that the economy is making a bottom is probably not accurate, especially when it comes to China. With US and EU growth running in reverse, the notion that China’s exports which are the pillars of its economy are due to improve soon cannot be true.

The EU news makes it much more likely that the real beginnings of a global GDP recovery is still several quarters away.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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