Why Investors Should Ignore GDP

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
By Douglas A. McIntyre Published

By John Tamny

The great Canadian economist Reuven Brenner has likened macroeconomic calculations to dangerous mythmaking that sustains “the illusion that prosperity is necessarily linked with territory, national units, and government spending in general.” Truer words have rarely been written, particularly when we consider how very much our economic health is related to productivity outside our borders.
 
Simplified, with the only closed economy being the world economy, our productivity accrues to individuals outside the United States, and foreign productivity similarly accrues to our own economic well-being. National economic statistics presume a war among the economically productive based on country borders, when in fact the world is an increasingly integrated economic whole.

Despite the illogic of government economic statistics, Gross domestic product (GDP) is still generally accepted as a useful measure of U.S. economic performance. The problem here is that many of the inputs used to calculate the number create inaccurate readings that can overstate or understate our economic health.

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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