Investing

Earnings Previews: Bilibili, Five Below, FuelCell Energy, Nio

The majority (29 of 35) brokers have rated Bilibili stock a Buy or Strong Buy, with the other six having Hold ratings. At a recent price of around $25.50 per share, the upside potential based on a median price target of $39.73 is 55.8%. At the high target of $115.88, the implied upside is a whopping 354%.

The consensus estimates call for fiscal first-quarter revenue of $757.24 million, which would be down 16.8% sequentially but up 27.2% year over year. Analysts have forecast an adjusted loss per share of $0.63, slightly better than the prior quarter’s loss per share of $0.66 and considerably worse than the year-ago loss of $0.29 per share. For the full 2022 fiscal year ending in December, analysts expect Bilibili to post a per-share loss of $2.39, compared to a loss last year of $2.27, on sales of $3.47 billion, up 13.6%.

Bilibili is not expected to post a profit in 2022, 2023 or 2024. The stock trades at a 2022 sales to enterprise value multiple of 2.4. The estimated multiple for 2023 is 1.7 and for 2024, 1.4  The stock’s 52-week trading range is $14.93 to $129.24. Total shareholder return for the past year is negative 76.6%.

Five Below

Discount retailer Five Below Inc. (NASDAQ: FIVE) has seen its share price drop by about 30% over the past 12 months. Since a recent high in mid-April, the shares are down about 28%. In other words, not much has changed for the company as inflation threatens discount retailers with lower profits if they don’t raise prices or lower revenue if they do raise prices. The company reports quarterly results after Wednesday’s closing bell.

Five Below also continues to plan to increase its U.S. store count to at least 3,500 by 2030. That is almost three times the number of U.S. stores the company currently operates. That will not be cheap, and that worries investors and analysts.

Of 22 analysts covering the stock, 17 have a Buy or Strong Buy rating, with the other five rating shares at Hold. At a share price of around $132.70, the upside potential based on a median price target of $207.00 is 56%. At the high target of $284.00, the implied upside is 114%.

The consensus estimates call for fiscal first-quarter revenue of $652.73 million, down 34.5% sequentially and 9.2% higher year over year. Analysts have forecast EPS of $0.58, down 76.7% sequentially and down 34.1% year over year. For the full 2023 fiscal year ending in January, analysts expect the company to post EPS of $5.48, up 10.6%, on sales of $3.21 billion, up 12.6%.

Five Below’s stock trades at 24.2 times expected 2023 EPS, 19.8 times estimated 2024 earnings of $6.72 and 16.2 times estimated 2025 earnings of $8.20 per share. The stock’s 52-week range is $110.83 to $237.86. The company does not pay a dividend, and the total shareholder return for the past year was negative 30.3%.

FuelCell Energy

Hydrogen fuel cell maker FuelCell Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: FCEL) has seen its share price decline by more than 57% over the past 12 months, reaching a new 52-week low in mid-May. Over the past 24 months, however, shares are up more than 67%m following a spike in early 2020 that had shares up by around 1,000%. The company reports quarterly results early Thursday.

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