Walmart Stock Surges as Other Retailers Crumble

While the stocks of other retailers have struggled this year, Walmart shares have soared. Weak consumer spending has not damaged all national retailers.

Published December 26, 2024, 8:15am ET · 2 min read

A wide shot of the front exterior of a Walmart store under a cloudy sky. The prominent blue sign with "Walmart" in white letters and a yellow starburst logo is centered above the main entrance. Below, shoppers enter and exit through automatic glass doors, with several shopping carts visible near the entrance and in the parking lot. The building has light gray and darker gray architectural elements, and the street address "600" is visible on the left side. Yellow painted lines mark the pedestrian area in front of the store.
A Walmart store entrance symbolizes the ongoing dynamics of consumer spending, a key factor in the company's recent financial performance. © Sundry Photography / iStock Editorial via Getty Images

This year will be considered the “Year of Walmart.” The stocks of other retailers have struggled as Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT | WMT Price Prediction) shares have jumped 77% higher. It is a testament to its size, novel services, and clever senior management.

Leader of the Pack

Walmart truck
Andrei Stanescu / iStock Editorial via Getty Images
Not hurt by weak consumer spending.

So far this year, the shares of other large retailers have fallen. This included Target, Albertson’s, Walgreens, Dollar Tree, and Kohl’s. Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) is an example of the industry’s troubles, despite its position as the number two big-box retailer beyond Walmart. Its revenue barely budged, up 1.1% to $26.7 billion, in the most recently reported quarter. Net income cratered 12% to $854 million. Its guidance worried investors even more. It forecast a lackluster holiday season. Its stock is down 7% this year, while the S&P 500 is 25% higher.

Kohl’s Corp. (NYSE: KSS) stock dropped 21% when it announced its most recent earnings and is now down nearly 50% for the year. It said net sales will be down as much as 7% for its fiscal year, which ends in January. That reflects pessimism about the holiday season. In its most recent quarter, revenue dropped almost 9% to $3.5 billion. Earnings fell from $0.52 per share in the same quarter a year ago to $0.20.

It would be easy to say that weak consumer spending damaged all national retailers. However, given Walmart’s size, that case is hard to make. In the most recent quarter, revenue rose almost 6% to $170 billion. Adjusted per-share earnings rose 14% to $.58. U.S. revenue rose 5% to $115 billion. Operating income for the region was higher by 9% to $5.4 billion.

Walmart is a good proxy for consumers nationwide. Ninety percent of the U.S. population lives within 10 miles of a Walmart store. It has over 4,700 locations in America. And its global e-commerce revenue was up 27%. To a large extent, this is because of the ability to order online and pick up items at stores.

Walmart’s stock is up so much that, despite its size, it is swimming against the tide.

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Douglas A. McIntyre

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

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McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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