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Investing

A Familiar Pattern

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By Ben Briody Published
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A Familiar Pattern

© Frame Stock Footage / Shutterstock.com

One could look at the charts this morning and start wondering if they’ve seen this movie before. After reclaiming the $91k level towards the end of last week, bitcoin slowly traded down over the weekend, only to lose all gains last week on Monday. BTC started trading downwards once news came out of Japan from Katayama that rate cuts were on the table on Sunday night. Fears of the infamous yen carry trade unwinding once again spooked markets at futures open. An unfortunate quality of being one of the most expressive risk assets humans have ever created, is the high levels of volatility and violent moves (in either direction). BTC decided to revisit the $80k levels once again, seeing lows just below $84k yesterday. Tuesday is off to a green start so far, with BTC trading just above $88k at this time of writing. But there are some new fears entering the market.

 

With Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR | MSTR Price Prediction) CEO Phong Le acknowledging that there are scenarios where Strategy would in fact sell bitcoin, the market became further fearful on Monday. Le mentioned possibilities of bitcoin being sold if mNAV drops below 1, or if they are unable to raise any further capital through their creative financing mechanisms. This news combined with the MSCI wanting to delist Strategy puts Saylor in not the most favorable of positions. 

 

Since the memory of the internet can be less than that of a goldfish at times, Strategy survived the decimation of markets in 2022, and has the ability to pay its dividends on its structured products for quite a while. Strategy just bought another 130 BTC at the end of November. Stayed tuned.

DISCLOSURE:
INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE Brokerage and Active investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, member FINRA(www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Advisory services are offered by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Information about SoFi Wealth’s advisory operations, services, and fees is set forth in SoFi Wealth’s current Form ADV Part 2 (Brochure), a copy of which is available upon request and at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov. Probability of Member receiving $1,000 is a probability of 0.026%; If you don’t make a selection in 30 days, you’ll no longer qualify for the promo. Customer must fund their account with a minimum of $50.00 to qualify. Other fees, such as exchange fees, may apply. Please view our fee disclosure to view a full listing of fees. Investing in alternative investments and/or strategies may not be suitable for all investors and involves unique risks, including the risk of loss. An investor should consider their individual circumstances and any investment information, such as a prospectus, prior to investing. Interval Funds are illiquid instruments, the ability to trade on your timeline may be restricted. Brokerage and Active investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA(www.finra.org) /SIPC(www.sipc.org). There are limitations with fractional shares to consider before investing. During market hours fractional share orders are transmitted immediately in the order received. There may be system delays from receipt of your order until execution and market conditions may adversely impact execution prices. Outside of market hours orders are received on a not held basis and will be aggregated for each security then executed in the morning trade window of the next business day at market open. Share will be delivered at an average price received for executing the securities through a single batched order. Fractional shares may not be transferred to another firm. Fractional shares will be sold when a transfer or closure request is initiated. Please consider that selling securities is a taxable event. Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire investment Before trading options please review the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options  Investing in an Initial Public Offering (IPO) involves substantial risk, including the risk of loss. Further, there are a variety of risk factors to consider when investing in an IPO, including but not limited to, unproven management, significant debt, and lack of operating history. For a comprehensive discussion of these risks please refer to SoFi Securities’ IPO Risk Disclosure Statement This should not be considered a recommendation to participate in IPOs and investors should carefully read the offering prospectus to determine whether an offering is consistent with their investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation. New offerings generally have high demand and there are a limited number of shares available for distribution to participants. Many customers may not be allocated shares and share allocations may be significantly smaller than the shares requested in the customer’s initial offer (Indication of Interest). For more information on the allocation process please visit IPO Allocation.
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About the Author Ben Briody →

I'm a finance and analytics professional with a strong foundation in capital markets and a proven track record of solving complex problems through data, engineering, and design. Wall Street-trained and bred and thoroughly battle tested in crypto, I bring a multidisciplinary approach that blends financial acumen, technical architecture, and strategic execution.

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