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The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) rose 0.4% in premarket trading Monday, and gee, I wonder what news investors might be pondering today?
Over the weekend, President Trump ordered an extraordinary raid into the Venezuelan capital of Caracas. Missiles, planes, and helicopters were launched, troops were landed, and the Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro and his wife were arrested and spirited out of the country to face trial on drug and terrorism charges in New York City.
Oil news
In his address to the nation announcing the raid, President Trump spoke extensively on his plans for Venezuelan oil reserves, but investors seem of two minds on this aspect of the news. On the one hand, oil stocks are surging on hopes that U.S. oil companies will be able to return to or expand their presence in Venezuela under new leadership. Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM | XOM Price Prediction) stock is up 3% premarket and ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is up 5%. Chevron (NYSE: CVX), which has continued to operate in Venezuela under both the Chavez and Maduro regimes, is up nearly 7%.
At the same time, oil prices are rising despite prospects for increased Venezuelan oil production potentially increasing supplies and decreasing prices over the long term. Venezuela is believed to possess the largest proven oil reserves in the world — more oil than Saudi Arabia. WTI crude oil is up more than 1% today, to nearly $58 per barrel. Brent crude, the international benchmark, is up more than 0.8%.
Helping to explain the discrepancy, the President and his advisors did confirm over the weekend that the blockade of Venezuelan oil exports by unregistered “dark fleet” tankers remains in effect.
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