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Live: Will Cisco Shares Rise After Q2 Earnings Tonight?

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By Eric Bleeker Updated Published

Quick Read

  • Cisco (CSCO) reports Q2 earnings tonight after hitting all-time highs. Analysts expect $15.42B in revenue representing 5% year-over-year growth. We will be updating this live blog with news and analysis right after Cisco’s earnings hit tonight. Simply stay on this page and new updates will appear automatically below. 

  • Cisco booked over $800M in AI infrastructure orders last quarter. The company has beaten estimates in eight consecutive quarters.

  • Cisco’s gross margins stood at 68.4% last quarter. The stock trades at 34x trailing earnings.

  • The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks. Get them here FREE.

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Cisco Shares Now Down 6.7% After-Hours - Memory Costs Weigh On Performance

Cisco’s call is over; there wasn’t a ton of movement during it.

As we noted earlier, most of the movement came during Cisco discussing lessening gross margins from memory costs.

It appears the company is now another victim of increasing component costs.

Cisco is now seeing all-time highs (beyond its 2000 peak!) thanks to AI demand.

On the other end, it’s also the victim of AI demand. Rabid AI demand is increasing the cost of components like memory and cutting into its margins.

Overall, these were fine earnings, but Cisco is more of a victim of its own recent success than any other factor.

Cisco Shares Are Plunging After Hours Thanks to Increased Memory Costs

Well, here’s the quote from Cisco on their call that seems to be accelerating losses.

In short, the company is another loser from the booming price of memory:

Total non-GAAP gross margin came in at 67.5% down 120 basis points year-over-year. Non-GAAP product gross margin was 66.4%, down 130 basis points, primarily driven by negative impacts from mix and higher memory costs, partially offset by productivity improvements. Non-GAAP services gross margin was 70.9%, down 70 basis points. We continue our focus on enhancing profitability and driving financial discipline with non-GAAP operating margin at 34.6%, above the high end of our guidance range. Our non-GAAP tax rate was 19% for the quarter.”

Memory stocks are doing wonderful, but they’re certainly causing a lot of pain across other companies.

Here's What Comes Next

Cisco shares are down 8%. We noted the areas of weakness earlier.

The earnings call is happening now.

We will post our updates from their earnings call on this live blog. What I’d recommend doing is leaving this page open and you can update it.

We will be posting updates from the earnings call shortly.

Stay Updated with 24/7 Wall St.

We’ll keep updating and Cisco’s earnings call is up next, but if you’re enjoying this live blog, there are more ways to keep updated from 24/7 Wall St:

If you’re looking for a daily news source that not only tells you the biggest news but the profit plays on it, make sure to check out 24/7 Wall St.’s Daily Profit newsletter.

Another area you might be interested in is top AI stocks as the trend continues accelerating in 2026. Once again, we’ve got you covered with our new Top 10 AI Stocks report. It’s free and will introduce some companies seeing absolutely massive growth this earnings season.

Bear Cases That Are Dragging Cisco's Shares Down After-Hours

Cisco’s Q2 beat came with a catch: operating cash flow plunged 19% year-over-year to $1.8 billion, a sharp reversal from the strong revenue and earnings growth. This wasn’t flagged in headline numbers but signals potential working capital strain or timing issues that could pressure future margins.

The Security segment declined 4% to $2.0 billion, contrasting sharply with Networking’s 21% surge. As competitors like Palo Alto and CrowdStrike gain share, this weakness raises questions about Cisco’s ability to defend its security franchise—a critical component of its AI-era positioning.

While full-year guidance was raised to $61.2-61.7 billion revenue, management noted tariff impacts are embedded in the outlook. This hedges expectations—if tariffs ease, Cisco beats; if they worsen, guidance could need cuts.

Why Are Cisco Shares Down After Earnings? Look at These Two Metrics

Looking at figures that were the most ‘lukewarm’ from Cisco.

  • Full-year EPS guidance of $4.13 to $4.17 only slightly tops Wall Street expectations ($4.13) at the midpoint.
  • Next quarter’s EPS guide of $1.02 to $1.04 is exactly inline with expectations.

Cisco referenced some areas of excitement such as product orders up 18% year-over-year and AI infrastructure orders totalling $2.1 billion, but those are likely being overshadowed by the areas we highlighted above.

Cisco's Q2 Earnings Highlights - Everything You Need to Know

CSCO | Cisco Q2’26 Earnings Highlights:

  • Adj. EPS: $1.04 (Est. $1.02) [✅]; UP +11% YoY
  • Revenue: $15.3B; UP +10% YoY
  • Adj. Gross Margin: 67.5% (Est. 66.0%) [✅]; UP +20 bps YoY
  • Net Income: $3.2B; UP +31% YoY
  • Operating Income: $3.8B; UP +21% YoY
  • Operating Margin: 24.6%; UP +230 bps YoY
  • Free Cash Flow: $1.8B; DOWN -19% YoY
  • Effective Tax Rate: 12.9% (vs. 15.9% YoY)
  • Dividend: $0.42 per share; UP +2% from previous quarter

Q3’26 Outlook:

  • Revenue: $15.4B to $15.6B (Est. $15.5B) [✅]
    • Guidance reflects strong demand across all customer markets and geographies.
    • Expectations of continued growth driven by AI infrastructure orders and networking refresh cycles.

Q2 Segment Performance:

  • Americas Revenue: $8.845B; UP +8% YoY
  • EMEA Revenue: $4.425B; UP +15% YoY
  • APJC Revenue: $2.080B; UP +8% YoY
  • Product Revenue: $11.642B; UP +14% YoY
  • Services Revenue: $3.707B; DOWN -1% YoY

Other Key Q2 Metrics:

  • Adj. Operating Income: $5.3B; UP +9% YoY
  • Adj. Operating Expenses: $5.0B; UP +6% YoY
  • R&D Expenses: $2.355B; UP +2% YoY
  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: $15.8B
  • Remaining Performance Obligations: $43.4B; UP +5% YoY
  • Deferred Revenue: $28.4B; UP +2% YoY
  • Capital Returned to Shareholders: $3.0B through buybacks and dividends

CEO Commentary:

  • Chuck Robbins: “Cisco’s strong second quarter and first half of fiscal 2026 demonstrate both the power of our portfolio and the fundamental role we continue to play in connecting and protecting customers in a rapidly evolving landscape.”

CFO Commentary:

  • Mark Patterson: “In Q2, we delivered double-digit growth on both the top and bottom lines which exceeded the high end of our guidance and puts us on track to deliver our strongest revenue year yet in fiscal 2026.”

Shares Now Down 8%

AppLovin is getting punished after hours now. Earnings look generally good but the market has been punishing ad companies (and software companies in general) harshly across this earnings season.

Guidance

Guidance next quarter is $15.5 billion at the midpoint, which is above consensus.

Gross margins might be a little lower than expectations.

Full-year guidance is now $61.2 billion to $61.7 billion while EPS was raised to $4.13 to $4.17.

Shares are now plunging, down 3.8%. 

Cisco Shares Choppy

Cisco shares are chopping up and down and are now up slightly at .5%.

We’ll continue analyzing their earnings, but no major reaction right after they posted.

Cisco Earnings Were Just Announced - Here are the Most Important Numbers

Here’s what they reported:

  • EPS: $1.04
  • Revenue: $15.3 billion

Here’s what Wall Street expected:

  • EPS: $1.02
  • Revenue: $15.1 to $15.4 billion

It’s another earnings beat for Cisco, but shares are initially down 2%.

Cisco Earnings Expected at 4:05 p.m. ET

While Cisco could drop its earnings immediately after four, we do expect them closer to 4:05 p.m. ET. So, if you see any movement right after earnings, that might be noise. Once earnings are released, we will provide updates that will push automatically to this live blog.

While you wait, make sure to check out a couple of essential resources.

If you’re looking for a daily news source that not only tells you the biggest news but the profit plays on it, make sure to check out 24/7 Wall St.’s Daily Profit newsletter.

Another area you might be interested in is top AI stocks as the trend continues accelerating in 2026. Once again, we’ve got you covered with our new Top 10 AI Stocks report. It’s free and will introduce some companies seeing absolutely massive growth this earnings season.

Prediction Markets Give Cisco a 91% Chance of Beating Earnings Tonight

We’re only 20 minutes away from Cisco’s Fiscal Q2 earnings and prediction markets are placing 91% odds on Cisco beating Wall Street’s EPS target.

Cisco has a long track record of beating earnings, so optimism is warranted. Still, shares will most likely react the most in terms of whether Cisco updates full year guidance or gives updates AI spending figures that could lead to Wall Street revising targets north in Fiscal 2027.

Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO | CSCO Price Prediction) reports Q2 FY2026 earnings tonight after the bell. Cisco’s fiscal year ends in July, so Q2 FY2026 covers the October-December 2025 period. After hitting all-time highs yesterday, the networking giant faces heightened expectations around its AI infrastructure positioning and whether enterprise demand is accelerating.

What Wall Street Expects

Analysts are looking for EPS of $1.02 and revenue of $15.42 billion (some estimates are as low as $15.1 billion, so keep that in mind if they slightly miss $15.4 billion).

That revenue figure represents roughly 5% year-over-year growth. For context, Q1 delivered $1.00 in EPS, so Wall Street is modeling modest sequential improvement.

Full-year guidance matters more. Management previously set FY2026 revenue at $59-60 billion and EPS at $4.00-4.06. Any adjustment to those ranges will reset sentiment fast. The company has beaten estimates in eight consecutive quarters, averaging a 3.3% surprise. The streak has built credibility, but it also raises the bar.

Wall Street is currently expecting about $60.8 billion in sales for Fiscal 2026.

AI Infrastructure and Networking Demand

I’ll be watching how much revenue Cisco is actually recognizing from AI infrastructure orders. Last quarter, the company booked over $800 million in AI infrastructure orders and recognized roughly $1 billion in AI revenue for the full fiscal year. The question is whether that momentum is building or plateauing.

The newly launched Silicon One G300 chip won’t materially impact this quarter’s numbers, but management’s commentary on customer pipeline and design wins will matter. Cisco claims the chip delivers 28% faster AI job completion times and directly challenges Broadcom and Nvidia in the $600 billion AI infrastructure market.

Enterprise networking trends are also worth watching. Campus refresh cycles and data center switching are key drivers. Last quarter, networking orders grew double digits for the fourth consecutive quarter, led by webscale customers and enterprise routing. If that momentum holds, it validates the thesis that network infrastructure upgrades are accelerating to support AI workloads.

Security, Margins, and Guidance Tone

Security growth has been a sticking point. Last quarter, security orders grew mid-single digits overall, but double digits excluding U.S. Federal. Management maintains a long-term target of 15-17% growth for security and observability. Progress toward that range will determine whether investors believe the Splunk acquisition is paying off.

Gross margins came in at 68.4% last quarter. Any compression would raise concerns about product mix or competitive pricing pressure. Operating leverage is critical as Cisco scales its AI product portfolio.

Finally, guidance tone matters more than the print. If management sounds confident about second-half acceleration and raises the full-year outlook, shares could extend yesterday’s rally. If they hedge on enterprise spending or push out AI revenue expectations, the market will punish the stock despite a solid quarter. Execution has been strong, but the valuation at 34x trailing earnings leaves little room for disappointment.

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Photo of Eric Bleeker
About the Author Eric Bleeker →

Eric Bleeker has been investing for more than 20 years. He began his career working at Microsoft before joining Motley Fool, one of the largest publishers of financial research. In his 15 years at Motley Fool Eric served as the General Manager for Fool.com and led coverage in the Technology & Telecom sector. In addition, he was a featured columnist and has hosted dozens of investing seminars attended by more than a million total investors. Eric has more than 1,000 financial bylines to his name and has been featured in The Wall Street Journal, CNBC, Fox Business, and many other leading publications. He is currently focused on artificial intelligence investing and is a CFA Charterholoder.

Live: Will Cisco Shares Rise After Q2 Earnings Tonight?

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