Uber Jumps 4%: Will Robotaxis and Air Taxis Fuel Further Upside?

Quick Read

  • Uber (UBER) reported Q4 revenue of $14.37B, up 20.1% year-over-year, with free cash flow reaching a record $2.81B up 65%, while finalizing robotaxi deals with Nissan and Wayve and launching an air taxi service with Joby Aviation (JOBY).

  • Lucid Group (LCID), a production-ready EV manufacturer, is partnering with Uber to launch a commercial robotaxi service later this year, providing the physical vehicles needed to scale autonomous operations.

  • Uber is positioning itself as the operating system for urban mobility by stacking robotaxi partnerships, air taxi launches, and platform expansions while trading at a 19% discount to analyst price targets as institutional investors and insiders increase positions.

  • Read: If you follow markets closely, Kalshi lets you profit directly from being right about what comes next.

By David Moadel Published
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Uber Jumps 4%: Will Robotaxis and Air Taxis Fuel Further Upside?

© General Motors/Cruise

Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER | UBER Price Prediction) shares rose 4% Wednesday morning as a wave of autonomous mobility headlines puts the stock squarely back in the spotlight. This is happening even though UBER stock closed Tuesday at $72.36, down 2% on the session and down 11.44% year-to-date from its January 1 starting price of $81.71.

That pullback was painful on paper, but the most recent news flow tells a very different story about where Uber is headed strategically. Multiple robotaxi partnerships, an air taxi launch, and a fresh institutional vote of confidence are all converging at once.

Robotaxi Deals Stack Up Fast

The biggest catalyst this week is the reported Nissan-Uber robotaxi deal. Nissan and Uber are reportedly finalizing a collaboration on a robotaxi fleet powered by Wayve technology, aligning with Nissan’s plans to debut its AI-powered ProPilot system in fiscal year 2027. That is a meaningful development: Nissan brings manufacturing scale, Wayve brings the AI stack, and Uber brings the one thing neither of them has at scale: demand.

Layered on top of that is the Lucid Group (NASDAQ:LCID) partnership. Lucid Group’s Investor Day on March 12 will feature a fireside chat with Uber President and COO Andrew Macdonald, with the two companies set to launch a commercial robotaxi service later this year. Lucid is a production-ready EV manufacturer, which matters because getting autonomous vehicles off software simulations and onto actual roads requires real cars at scale.

CEO Dara Khosrowshahi has been consistent on this point. On the Q4 earnings call, he laid out the competitive logic:

“AVs [autonomous vehicles] amplify the fundamental strengths of our platform, global scale, deep demand density, sophisticated marketplace technology, and decades of on-the-ground experience matching riders, drivers, and vehicles, all in real time.”

He also noted that AVs on the Uber platform are running 30% more trips per vehicle per day than standalone first-party platforms, based on publicly available data. That utilization advantage is Uber’s core argument for why AV manufacturers need the Uber network, not the other way around.

Air Taxis and Platform Expansion

Uber is partnering with Joby Aviation (NYSE:JOBY) to launch an all-electric air taxi service in Dubai, integrated directly into the Uber app for combined air and ground transport bookings. This is described as a proof of concept rather than an immediate revenue driver, but it signals that Uber is serious about becoming the operating system for all forms of urban mobility, not just car rides.

The company also recently acquired SpotHero, the parking app, as part of its broader platform diversification push. Uber also expanded into India by partnering with AbhiBus to integrate intercity bus ticketing into the Uber app, a capital-light move to widen its addressable market in one of the world’s fastest-growing mobility markets.

The Earnings Miss Is Old News

Some of the year-to-date pressure on UBER stock traces back to the Q4 earnings report filed February 4, 2026. Uber posted non-GAAP EPS of $0.71, missing the $0.78 consensus estimate, which spooked investors. For a full breakdown of how that played out in the stock, see our earlier coverage: Uber Stock Drops 6.4% This Week After Earnings Miss and Robotaxi Expansion.

However, the miss was driven almost entirely by a $1.6 billion equity investment revaluation headwind, not by any weakness in the core business. Revenue came in at $14.37 billion, up 20.1% year-over-year, and free cash flow hit a record $2.81 billion, up 65% year-over-year.

Insiders and Institutions Are Buying

CFO Balaji Krishnamurthy purchased 22,453 shares of UBER common stock on February 24 at approximately $71.25 to $71.32 per share. This was an open-market buy that signaled personal conviction at these levels.

That purchase came after the stock had already pulled back significantly from the $84.85 level seen in mid-January 2026. Meanwhile, Blue Whale Capital LLP increased its stake in Uber by 17.2%, making UBER its 6th largest holding. Institutional investors now own approximately 80.24% of Uber’s stock.

On the analyst side, the consensus rating sits at “Moderate Buy” with an average price target of $104.53, implying substantial upside from current levels. Mad Money host Jim Cramer offered his personal opinion on March 8, saying, “I think this is a company that’s taking over the world,” and calling UBER shares “way too cheap.”

What to Watch

The Lucid Investor Day on March 12 is the next major catalyst, with Uber’s COO Andrew Macdonald expected to detail the commercial robotaxi timeline. Any specifics on launch cities, pricing, or fleet size could move the stock meaningfully in either direction. Watch whether UBER stock can reclaim the $74 to $75 range as the AV narrative continues to build.

Uber is not a company in distress. It is a company in transition, and the market is still figuring out how to price that transition. The robotaxi partnerships, the air taxi launch, the record free cash flow, and the CFO buying shares in the open market are all developments investors are weighing as the AV narrative evolves. How the stock responds to these catalysts remains to be seen, but Wednesday’s share-price action certainly looks bullish.

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