Vanguard Projects International Stocks Will Beat the US for 10 Years. Here Are 3 ETFs Built to Capture That.

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By John Seetoo Published

Quick Read

  • Vanguard expects US equity growth of 4-5% over the next decade but predicts non-US equities can achieve 7%, prompting investors to consider international ETF exposure. Three strong options include Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF (VXUS) with $636.67B in net assets and a Morningstar gold rating, Vanguard International High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF (VYMI) yielding 3.28% with a low 14 P/E ratio, and iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) with $182.59B in net assets offering developed market exposure with lower emerging market risk.

  • International ETF inflows exceeded $220 billion in 2025 and reached $250 billion by mid-February 2026, as Bank of America declared 2026 a ‘New World Order’ for international stocks, making this an optimal time for investors to add 10-20% international exposure to their portfolios.

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Vanguard Projects International Stocks Will Beat the US for 10 Years. Here Are 3 ETFs Built to Capture That.

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A leader in mutual funds and credited for launching the Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) platform, John Bogle’s Vanguard Group has grown from its mid-70s retail market focused launch to become the second largest US asset manager after BlackRock. Its market analysis team is well regarded, and its opinions carry weight. This is why its 2026 market outlook was somewhat surprising. In spite of the US economy firing on all cylinders, Vanguard predicts US equity growth at 4-5% over the next ten years – but anticipates that non-US equities can go to 7% in the same decade. Investors seeking to hedge their bets and add some international exposure to their portfolios at minimal cost may want to consider an international ETF.  Here are three different twists on that theme to consider:

    • Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Shares (NASDAQ: VXUS)
    • Vanguard International High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares (NASDAQ: VYMI)
    • iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (BATS: IEFA)

Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Shares

A detailed 3D render of planet Earth viewed from space, with a massive, continuous stack of U.S. dollar bills wrapping around its equator. The Earth shows both night (with city lights) and day sections, while the crescent Moon is visible in the dark, starry background.
247 Wall st

VXUS is an international ETF that is regionally and industrially agnostic, and includes emerging market stocks and others.

Using the FTSE Global All Cap ex-USA Index as its benchmark, VXUS is an international equities ETF that boasts an 8,560 stock name portfolio. Drawing from Europe, PacRIm and Emerging Markets from around the globe, VXUS returned approximately 32-39% in 2025, although it has retraced somewhat in March. It is one of the top retail investment choices for a broad international coverage ETF and has a Morningstar gold medalist rating. 

Net Assets

$636.67 billion

Avg. Daily Volume

9.96 million shares

Yield

2.86%

YTD Return

2.32%

52 Wk. Range

$54.98-$84.28

1-Year return

39.91%

Beta

0.99

3-Year return

19.87%

Expense Ratio

0.05%

5-Year Return

9.85%

P/E Ratio

16.88

10-Year Return

10.61%

Top 10 Largest Holdings:

  1. Taiwan Semiconductor (3.43%)
  2. Samsung Electronics (1.59%)
  3. ASML Holding NV (1.29%)
  4. TenCent Holdings (0.92%)
  5. SK hynix Inc (0.91%)
  6. Roche Holding AG (0.76%)
  7. AliBaba Group (0.73%)
  8. Novartis AG (0.73%)
  9. HSBC Holdings plc (0.73%)
  10.  AstraZeneca plc (0.71%)

Vanguard International High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares

An illustrative image showing four stacks of silver-colored coins on a wooden surface, arranged in increasing height from left to right. Overlaid is a translucent blue digital world map grid, along with various white international currency symbols including dollar, euro, pound, yen, and ruble. A prominent white arrow points upwards diagonally from left to right, indicating growth. Various numerical values are also subtly overlaid on the dark background.
RORONOR / Shutterstock.com

VYMI has a focus on high-yielding international dividend stocks.

VYMI focuses on high dividend international stocks, and includes such well-known names as Novartis AG, Shell plc, HSBC Holdings plc, and Toyota. At the time of this writing, it is yielding 3.28%, has $20.1 billion in net assets, averages 1.6 million shares in daily volume, a low 0.07% expense ratio, a surprisingly low 14 P/E ratio, holds between 1,530 and 1,623 stocks, and has a reasonable 0.9 Beta risk. 

Geographically, VYMI’s holdings hail from: Japan (about 14%), UK (nearly 11%), Canada (about 8%), Switzerland (close to 7%), and Australia (also about 7%). Sectorwise, it has a heavy, 40% weighting towards financials, with industrials at 9%, energy at 8.3%, basic materials at 7.51%, consumer cyclical at 7.09% and consumer defensive at 7.08%. It has a Morningstar silver medalist rating. 

Net Assets

$20.1 billion

Avg. Daily Volume

1.58 million shares

Yield

3.28%

YTD Return

5.53%

52 Wk. Range

$65.08-$101.71

1-Year return

45.49%

Beta

0.90

3-Year return

23.12%

Expense Ratio

0.07%

5-Year Return

14.92%

P/E Ratio

14.05

10-Year Return

11.77%

Top 10 Largest Holdings:

  1. Roche Holding AG (1.78%)
  2. Novartis AG (1.72%)
  3. HSBC Holdings plc (1.7%)
  4. Nestle SA (1.48%)
  5. Toyota Motor (1.37%)
  6. Shell plc (1.29%)
  7. Royal Bank of Canada (1.26%)
  8. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (1.11%)
  9. Mistsubiushi UFJ Financial Group (1.09%)
  10. BHP Group (1.06%)

iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF

Japanese Yen and USD Dollar Bank note pile, Business and finance concept. 10,000 Japanese Yen and 100 dollar BankNote. Money background.currency exchange rate
SOUTHERNTraveler / Shutterstock.com

Nearly 25% of IEFA is invested in Japanese companies.

IEFA uses the MSCI EAFE IMI Index as its benchmark. It includes any non-North American large, mid, and small-cap public companies from developed foreign nations. Launched October 18, 2012, it has 2,624 different stocks with heaviest representation in financials (22.61%), industrials (20.5%), and healthcare (10.25%). Geographically, its holdings come from Japan (23%), UK (15%), France (10%), Switzerland (9-10%), Germany (9-10%), Australia (6%), and others (10-15%). IEFA has a Morningstar silver medalist rating. 

 

Net Assets

$182.59 billion

Avg. Daily Volume

17.7 million shares

Yield

3.23%

YTD Return

1.20%

52 Wk. Range

$66.95-$98.83

1-Year return

35.03%

Beta

1.02

3-Year return

18.86%

Expense Ratio

0.07%

5-Year Return

10.49%

P/E Ratio

17.94

10-Year Return

10.36%

Top 10 holdings:

  1. ASML Holding NV (2.15%)
  2. Roche Holding AG (1.27%)
  3. AstraZeneca plc (1.23%)
  4. Novartis AG (1.22%)
  5. HSBC Holdings plc (1.22%)
  6. Nestle SA (1.07%)
  7. Shell plc (0.89%)
  8. Toyota Motor Corp (0.88%)
  9. Siemens Aktiengesellschaft (0,84%)
  10. Mistsubiushi UFJ Financial Group (0.81%)

Looking at International ETFs For the Rest of 2026

 

Flat lay or top view of world international banknotes vary countries background. US Dollar, Chinese yuan, Japanese yen, Euro, Indian rupee, Thai baht. Concept of Forex or global financial economic.
Pla2na / Shutterstock.com

Vanguard is not the only firm bullish on international markets this year. Bank of America declared 2026 a “New World Order” for international stocks. Inflows to international ETFs soared to over $220 billion in 2025 and zoomed to $250 billion by mid-February 2026.

Investors have several options from which to choose to obtain international equities exposure to add to a portfolio. A 10-20% move into one, or all three of these ETFs would deliver this at a minimal cost. From a strategy perspective, one can sum them up as follows:

  • VXUS – Has the broadest range and scope of international stocks for a truly global representation, especially with resource-rich emerging market nations getting a much stronger profile of late due to escalated precious metals and energy demands.
  • VYMI – An attractive ETF for those seeking international exposure upside with a solid dividend yield component.
  • IEFA – Ideal ETF for an investor seeking developed nation international companies with a solid dividend yield and lower volatility with mitigated emerging market risk. 

 

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About the Author John Seetoo →

After 15 years on Wall Street with 7 of them as Director of Corporate and Municipal Bond Trading for a NYSE member firm, I started my own project and corporate finance consultancy. Much of the work involves writing business plans, presentations, white papers and marketing materials for companies seeking budgetary allocations for spinoffs and new initiatives or for raising capital for expansion or startup companies and entrepreneurs. On financial topics, I have been published under my own byline at The Motley Fool, 247wallst.com, DealFlow Events’ Healthcare Services Investment Newsletter and The Microcap Newsletter, among others.  Additionally, I have done freelance ghostwriting writing and editing for several financial websites, such as Seeking Alpha and Shmoop Financial. I have also written and been published on a variety of other topics from music, audiophile sound and film to musical instrument history, martial arts, and current events.  Publications include Copper Magazine, Fidelity (Germany), Blasting News, Inside Kung-Fu, and other periodicals.

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