Inside PEY’s mixed bag of future aristocrats and fading payers

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By John Seetoo Published

Quick Read

  • Invesco High Yield Equity Dividend Achievers ETF (PEY) owns 50 highest-yielding stocks with 10+ years of dividend increases.

  • PEY’s yield-weighted approach concentrates risk in names most likely to cut dividends, evident in LyondellBasell’s 50% reduction.

  • Mixed holdings from clean aristocrats like T. Rowe Price to stretched payers raising dividends unsustainably in pursuit of yield.

  • The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks. Get them here FREE.

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Inside PEY’s mixed bag of future aristocrats and fading payers

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Invesco High Yield Equity Dividend Achievers ETF (NYSEARCA:PEY) owns the 50 highest-yielding U.S. stocks that have raised their dividend for at least 10 straight years. PEY trades around $22 and has returned roughly 12% over the past year, but the income story is what investors are buying. The question is whether the underlying companies are tomorrow’s aristocrats or yesterday’s stretched payers. The answer, holding by holding, is genuinely mixed.

How PEY turns dividend streaks into yield

PEY tracks the NASDAQ US Dividend Achievers 50 Index, a yield-weighted screen of mid-cap dividend payers with a record of consecutive annual increases. Yield-weighting leans into the highest payers, where dividend coverage tends to crack first. The six names below show what that tradeoff looks like.

The clean aristocrat: T. Rowe Price

T. Rowe Price (NASDAQ:TROW | TROW Price Prediction) is the textbook holding. The quarterly payout rose from $1.24 in 2024 to $1.27 in 2025 to $1.30 in Q1 2026, extending a streak back to 1999. With trailing EPS of $9.32 against a $5.11 annualized dividend, the payout ratio sits near 55%, the cushion you want from an asset manager whose AUM swings with markets. Q1 2026 operating cash flow of $966 million confirms the dividend is funded from real earnings.

The crack that already happened: LyondellBasell

LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) posted a $738 million net loss in 2025 while paying out $1.76 billion in dividends, funding distributions from cash reserves rather than earnings. The market got its answer in March: the quarterly dividend was cut from $1.37 to $0.69, a 50% reduction. For PEY, that is the dividend-achiever thesis breaking in real time. The fact that LYB is up 68% year to date reflects relief that management rebased the payout.

The next domino watch: Flowers Foods

Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) raised its quarterly dividend 3% to $0.25 in late 2025, taking the annual rate to $1.00. Management then guided 2026 adjusted EPS to $0.80–$0.90, which cannot cover a dollar dividend. CEO Ryals McMullian flagged a “comprehensive review of our operations, including our brand portfolio, supply chain, and financial strategy”. Free cash flow still covers the payout roughly 1.5 times, so a cut isn’t imminent, but the raise looks premature.

The aristocrat under quiet pressure: Universal

Universal Corporation (NYSE:UVV) is the genuine 50-year aristocrat in the group, with the quarterly dividend stepping up to $0.82. Coverage is the issue: trailing EPS of $3.39 against a $3.27 dividend leaves almost no margin, and fiscal Q3 2026 earnings missed by 30% as tobacco volumes fell 8%. Management will defend the streak, but another weak year would force a hard choice.

The cyclical hopefuls: Insperity and Robert Half

Insperity (NYSE:NSP) and Robert Half (NYSE:RHI) are the “potential future” aristocrats. Insperity held its $0.60 quarterly dividend through 2025 and now guides 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.60–$2.60, with CEO Paul Sarvadi buying 100,000 shares in the open market. Robert Half raised its quarterly to $0.59 even as EPS fell to $0.14 in Q1 2026 from a 2022 peak above $1.50. Both are paying from cash, betting on a staffing cycle rebound.

The verdict for PEY holders

PEY’s distribution is safe because the fund pools 50 payers, and a single cut like LYB’s gets diluted. The harder truth is that yield-weighting concentrates exposure in names most likely to reset, and PEY’s 5-year price return of just under 4% shows the cost of that approach. For investors wanting dividend-achiever exposure with less reset risk, a quality-tilted dividend-growth ETF trades current yield for holdings that look more like TROW than LYB. PEY remains a reasonable income holding; just don’t mistake its yield for guaranteed durability.

Photo of John Seetoo
About the Author John Seetoo →

After 15 years on Wall Street with 7 of them as Director of Corporate and Municipal Bond Trading for a NYSE member firm, I started my own project and corporate finance consultancy. Much of the work involves writing business plans, presentations, white papers and marketing materials for companies seeking budgetary allocations for spinoffs and new initiatives or for raising capital for expansion or startup companies and entrepreneurs. On financial topics, I have been published under my own byline at The Motley Fool, 247wallst.com, DealFlow Events’ Healthcare Services Investment Newsletter and The Microcap Newsletter, among others.  Additionally, I have done freelance ghostwriting writing and editing for several financial websites, such as Seeking Alpha and Shmoop Financial. I have also written and been published on a variety of other topics from music, audiophile sound and film to musical instrument history, martial arts, and current events.  Publications include Copper Magazine, Fidelity (Germany), Blasting News, Inside Kung-Fu, and other periodicals.

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