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Investors are watching Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE:HPE | HPE Price Prediction) ahead of its fiscal second-quarter results due today, June 1, expected around 4:05 PM ET. With shares up 80.25% year to date, expectations are running hot.
Riding a Juniper-Fueled Rerating
Last quarter set a high bar. HPE posted $9.30 billion in revenue, up 18% year over year, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.65, clearing the high end of its own $0.57 to $0.61 guide. The Networking segment jumped 151.5% as Juniper consolidated, and free cash flow swung to positive $708 million from a negative figure a year ago.
Management responded by raising the full-year outlook. Non-GAAP EPS guidance now sits at $2.30 to $2.50, free cash flow of at least $2 billion, and Networking growth reported at 68% to 73%. CEO Antonio Neri told investors HPE entered Q2 with a record $5 billion AI Systems backlog, with the pipeline running at “multiples of backlog.”
Consensus and Company Guidance
| Metric |
Q2 FY26 Guide |
Q1 FY26 Actual |
FY26 Guide |
| Revenue |
$9.6B to $10.0B |
$9.30B |
+17% to 22% YoY |
| Non-GAAP EPS |
$0.51 to $0.55 |
$0.65 |
$2.30 to $2.50 |
| GAAP EPS |
$0.09 to $0.13 |
n/a |
$1.02 to $1.22 |
| Networking Growth (reported) |
142% to 152% |
+151.5% |
68% to 73% |
Memory Costs and Networking Margins Are the Test
Tonight, I’ll be watching three things with HPE. First, the DRAM and NAND squeeze. CEO Neri said component costs jumped “triple-digits” between CQ4 and CQ1 and warned elevated prices should “persist well into 2027.” Server pricing actions began in November, but the Cloud & AI segment already declined 3% in Q1. Management is steering toward higher-margin orders, which will trim AI Systems’ revenue.
Second, Networking margins. The segment delivered 23.7% operating margin in Q1, slightly above guidance, yet management is holding the full-year range in the low 20% range. The contraction of 600 basis points year over year, despite the revenue growth, shows that integration costs are real. Any commentary on whether Catalyst and Juniper synergies will pull margins higher will matter.
Third, the Networks for AI ramp. HPE now targets $1.7-$1.9 billion in cumulative AI networking orders by year-end, helped by data center switching orders up mid-40% on a normalized basis. Investors will look at whether neocloud and sovereign deals continue to convert.
Sentiment is leaning bullish. Polymarket traders place a 96.4% probability on a beat, and HPE has cleared non-GAAP EPS consensus in four straight quarters.
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