I keep hitting the buy button on Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB | GRAB Price Prediction) and I am not done. While Wall Street obsesses over June tech prices and broader indices wobble on inflation worries, I am quietly adding shares of a Southeast Asian super-app that, in my view, is being mispriced as a volatile penny stock when the underlying business looks like an emerging fintech utility.
The thesis is simple. Grab owns the daily habits of 52 million users across 8 markets, and it is using rides and food orders as cheap acquisition funnels for a lending and banking ecosystem that throws off real margin. Every time I open my brokerage and see the stock at $3.45, down 30.86% year to date, I add more.
Reason one: the financial services flywheel is firing
In Q1 2026, Grab’s Financial Services revenue grew 43% year over year to $107 million. Total loans disbursed reached $1.1 billion, up 67% YoY, and the gross loan portfolio expanded 130% YoY to $1.438 billion. Customer deposits at GXS and GX Bank sit at $1.63 billion. CEO Anthony Tan told investors the segment remains “on track for our Financial Services segment to achieve adjusted EBITDA breakeven in the second half of this year.” Layer in the Superbank consolidation, with over 6 million customers and net interest income up 84% YoY, and the lending engine starts to look like the main story.
Reason two: profitability turned a corner
FY 2025 delivered Grab’s first full year of net profit at $200 million on revenue of $3.37 billion. Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA rose 46% YoY to $154 million, the 17th consecutive quarter of adjusted EBITDA growth. Management reaffirmed FY 2026 guidance of $4.04 billion to $4.10 billion in revenue and $700 million to $720 million in Adjusted EBITDA, with a 2028 target of $1.5 billion Adjusted EBITDA. Trailing 12-month Adjusted Free Cash Flow already sits at $489 million.
Reason three: capital return at a real discount
Grab is buying its own stock aggressively. The company deployed $400 million in Q1 alone under a $500 million authorization, with CFO Peter Oey calling it “a reflection of our conviction in Grab’s long-term value at these dislocated prices.” The balance sheet supports it: $2.948 billion in cash, a forward P/E near 34x, and a PEG of 0.899. Analyst consensus sits at a $5.97 target with 7 Strong Buy and 20 Buy ratings, and zero sells.
The risk I take seriously
Indonesia’s new 8% commission cap on two-wheel ride-hailing is the obvious overhang, and the fuel crisis pushed Q1 On-Demand incentives to 10.5% of GMV. That matters to margins right now. What keeps me buying is that COO Alex Hungate confirmed two-wheel mobility represents “less than 6% of our total mobility GMV” and management reiterated full-year guidance through the noise.
So I keep buying. A profitable super-app with a lending flywheel, a fortress balance sheet, and a management team treating the share price as a gift is the kind of compounder I want to own for the next decade, one repeat purchase at a time.