Palo Alto Networks Surges 9%, CrowdStrike Rises 7%, Okta Gains 5%: Can the Cybersecurity Rally Justify Its Valuations?

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By David Moadel Published

Quick Read

  • PANW, CRWD, and OKTA shares rallied Monday, extending strong year-to-date gains, on a UBS forecast projecting 13% cybersecurity market growth.

  • These cybersecurity stocks have crushed the NASDAQ 100's 16% YTD gain, but PANW's 283x trailing P/E and CRWD's 143x forward P/E leave little room for error.

  • CrowdStrike's 4-for-1 stock split takes effect July 2, a catalyst that could amplify retail demand and short-term volatility around the event.

  • Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Palo Alto Networks didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

Palo Alto Networks Surges 9%, CrowdStrike Rises 7%, Okta Gains 5%: Can the Cybersecurity Rally Justify Its Valuations?

© Yuichiro Chino / Moment via Getty Images

Shares of Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW | PANW Price Prediction) are up 9% to $331.91 at midday Monday, leading a sharp rally across cybersecurity platform leaders. CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) stock is up 7% to $747.84, and Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) stock is up 5% to $130.23.

The synchronized move caps a powerful run for the group. Year to date (YTD), Palo Alto Networks stock is up 79%, CrowdStrike stock is up 59%, and Okta stock is up 51%, dwarfing the NASDAQ 100, which is up 16% YTD.

Today’s move in Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Okta stems from a broad risk-on tone in software. A fresh industry forecast circulating through investor desks adds a sector tailwind on top, but it leaves the bigger question intact: can earnings growth justify these multiples?

Broad Tech Rally and a Supportive Sector Backdrop

Cybersecurity names sit among the highest-beta corners of software, so they tend to lead on up days. With the NASDAQ 100 reclaiming ground after a recent pullback, money is rotating back into the platform leaders, and PANW, CRWD, and OKTA are absorbing an outsized share of the bid.

The backdrop got a lift for Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Okta from a UBS note published after Friday’s close. UBS estimated that the global security and safety market would reach $974 billion in 2026 and expand to $1.19 trillion by 2029, with cybersecurity the largest growth driver. UBS also sees the global cybersecurity market growing 13% this year to $240 billion, framing the category as a relatively defensive, resilient-spend area within tech.

The UBS report didn’t assign new ratings or price targets to PANW, CRWD, or OKTA, so it functions as a sector sentiment tailwind for investor positioning today. Recent earnings reinforce the picture: Palo Alto Networks delivered Q3 FY2026 revenue growth of 31% year over year, CrowdStrike posted Q1 FY2027 revenue growth of 26%, and Okta reported Q1 FY2027 revenue growth of 11%, with each company beating consensus on both lines.

Management commentary across the three companies also frames AI as a spending catalyst. Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora called the latest quarter a “standout” driven by “accelerating organic bookings growth as customers turn to us to secure their AI deployments at scale.” Meanwhile, CrowdStrike CEO George Kurtz described his company as “AI security infrastructure, critical to successful AI adoption.”

Valuations Leave Little Margin for Error

The group trades at premium multiples that leave little room for disappointment. Per Yahoo Finance, Palo Alto Networks trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 283.51x, and Okta carries a trailing P/E ratio of 94.46x.

CrowdStrike has no trailing P/E ratio because the company remains unprofitable on a TTM basis, with trailing EPS of -$0.14, according to Yahoo Finance. Forward multiples remain rich as well, with CrowdStrike’s forward P/E ratio at 143x and Palo Alto Networks’ at 75x.

The combined market caps are massive. Palo Alto Networks now carries a market cap of $268 billion, CrowdStrike sits at $190 billion, and Okta clears $22 billion, so further gains require ever-larger dollar inflows to keep the multiples climbing.

After massive YTD runs, the question for shareholders of Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Okta is whether earnings growth can compound fast enough to grow into these multiples. High-beta, high-multiple names can also fall hard if tech sentiment reverses, and the recent NASDAQ 100 drawdown is a reminder of that asymmetry.

What to Watch Next

The next concrete event is CrowdStrike’s 4-for-1 stock split, with split-adjusted trading set to begin July 2. Splits are mechanical events, but they can amplify retail demand and short-term volatility in the days around the effective date.

Watch for whether today’s gains hold into the close in PANW, CRWD, and OKTA, and whether analyst desks respond to the UBS forecast with refreshed estimates or price targets. Holders may want to keep an eye on sector breadth too, since a narrowing rally could signal that today’s enthusiasm is fading.

The takeaway is a balanced setup. Secular demand for cybersecurity and platformization tailwinds for Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Okta are visible, though valuations leave little margin for error. Investors should consider risk management around position sizing rather than chase the move higher into strength.

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About the Author David Moadel →

David Moadel is financial writer specializing in stocks, ETFs, options, precious metals, and Bitcoin. David has written well over 1,000 articles for leading online publications, helping investors understand markets, income strategies, and risk.

His work has appeared in The Motley Fool, InvestorPlace, U.S. News & World Report, TipRanks, ValueWalk, Benzinga, Market Realist, TalkMarkets, Finmasters, 24/7 Wall St., and others.

With a master’s degree in education, David has taught at the elementary, high school, and college levels. That teaching background shapes his writing style: clear, educational, and practical. David has also built a loyal social-media audience by providing trustworthy financial content on YouTube, X/Twitter, and StockTwits.

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