Chief Investment Strategist: “We Are Spending Almost 3% of GDP on AI” as Stocks Tune Out Global Conflict on “Astronomical Investment”

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By Thomas Richmond Published

Quick Read

  • NVIDIA's Data Center revenue surged 92% to $75 billion while Micron shares soared 248% year to date, both validating Pride's AI spending thesis.

  • PSEG disclosed 11,800 MW in data center load inquiries yet trades near its 52-week low, while Honeywell's Building Automation grew 8% on data center demand.

  • Pride says the market is desensitized to geopolitical conflict, with the VIX at 17 sitting below its 12-month average as AI momentum drives earnings.

  • Don't wait: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just revealed his top 10 AI stocks. See the full list FREE now.

Chief Investment Strategist: “We Are Spending Almost 3% of GDP on AI” as Stocks Tune Out Global Conflict on “Astronomical Investment”

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Jason Pride, Chief of Investment Strategy and Research at Glenmede, told CNBC on July 10 that investors have tuned out the noise from global conflict as an extraordinary wave of artificial intelligence spending drives corporate growth. “This market is getting desensitized to the geopolitical conflict. At the end of the day, we are in a momentum-driven market,” Pride said.

Pride believes there’s a strong foundation underneath this momentum driven by substantial AI investment. “We are spending almost 3% of GDP on AI build-out per year right now, an astronomical investment. And that’s going into effectively software-like replacement. It’s going into hardware, it’s going into buildings and infrastructure. It’s going into cooling systems,” he said. “That is why we’re seeing this strength in the underlying growth and underlying profits. I think that’s what’s supporting this market.”

Readers looking to find the winning companies riding this AI build-out wave can dig into our Free Report: 7 Stocks Powering the AI Boom (That Aren’t Chipmakers).

The Earnings Behind the Thesis

NVIDIA Is Building the Factories of the AI Economy

NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) reported Q1 FY2027 revenue of $81.61 billion, up 85.2% year over year, with Data Center revenue of $75.25 billion, up 92%, and networking up 199% year over year. Jensen Huang described the moment as “the largest infrastructure expansion in human history.” Guidance calls for $91.0 billion in Q2, and total supply commitments have reached $119.0 billion. NVIDIA assumed zero H20 Data Center compute revenue from China, versus $4.6 billion in the year-ago quarter. Shares are up 8.86% year to date, with the next report expected on August 26, 2026.

Micron Is Cashing In on an Explosive Memory Shortage

Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) posted fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $41.46 billion, up 345.7% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $25.11 and Q4 guidance of $50.0 billion ± $1.0 billion. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra tied it to “the strategic value of memory in the AI era.” Shares are up 247.66% year to date. This exemplifies the cyclical revenue growth Pride cited when naming Micron, SK Hynix, and Nvidia.

IBM Shows AI Spending Is Reaching Corporate America

IBM (NYSE:IBM) delivered Q1 2026 revenue of $15.92 billion, up 9.5%, with mainframe revenue surging 51% year over year. Arvind Krishna said, “AI continues to be a tailwind for our global business,” with the generative AI book of business topping $12.5 billion inception-to-date.

Honeywell Reveals Where Geopolitical Risk Still Matters

Honeywell (NASDAQ:HON) showed friction. Q1 2026 showed an adjusted EPS beat of $2.45, but revenue of $9.14 billion missed by 1.48%. CEO Vimal Kapur credited execution for “overcoming the impacts of rising inflation and the disruption in the Middle East,” while Building Automation grew 8% organically, driven by data center demand. Honeywell’s Aerospace spin-off completed on June 29, 2026.

Public Service Enterprise Group and The Power Ripple

The AI buildout ripples into utilities. Public Service Enterprise Group (NYSE:PEG) reported Q1 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $1.55 and disclosed large-load inquiries of roughly 11,800 MW as of December 31, 2025, tied to data center demand. Shares are up just 1.5% year to date, trading near the 52-week low of $75.39 despite an analyst target of $89.71.

“There Are Going to Be Winners and Losers”

Pride believes that history shows that no strong story can continue forever. “We will see a slowdown in that cycle as we have with any investment cycle. What we often see in any technology cycle is we see a ramp of investment as everybody rushes towards the same gold rush, trying to benefit from it. They’re going to be winners and losers from that,” he said

Valuations sit above historical averages, and Pride argues they hold only if businesses’ earnings power holds. The unresolved question is whether AI capex, running at roughly 3% of GDP annually, ultimately clears its hurdle for returns. That answer will take years to play out, but until then, momentum has kept the market climbing.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Photo of Thomas Richmond
About the Author Thomas Richmond →

Thomas Richmond is a financial writer and content strategist with 5+ years of experience covering stocks and financial markets. He has published over 250 articles focused on individual stock analysis, helping investors better understand business fundamentals, stock valuations, and long-term opportunities.

Thomas previously served as a Content Lead at TIKR, a stock research platform, where he helped scale the company’s blog to hundreds of articles per month and contributed to a weekly newsletter reaching more than 100,000 investors.

He specializes in breaking down complex companies into clear, actionable insights for everyday investors, with a focus on fundamentals-driven research.

His work has also been featured on platforms including Seeking Alpha and Sure Dividend.

Outside of work, Thomas enjoys weight lifting and soccer.

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