The 5 Safest Dividend Kings Are the Place to Be If We Have a 10%-20% Fall Sell-Off

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By Lee Jackson Published

Quick Read

  • Dividend Kings are 57 companies that have raised dividends for 50 or more consecutive years, and they have survived every market crash since Black Monday's stunning 22% single-day Dow plunge in 1987.

  • S&P Global (SPGI) targets a conservative payout ratio in the range of 20 to 30%, while ABM Industries (ABM) holds a 31% payout ratio, making both standout defensive picks.

  • National Fuel Gas (NFG) trades at one of the lowest forward earnings multiples among Dividend Kings and carries a Bank of America Buy rating with a $107 target.

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The 5 Safest Dividend Kings Are the Place to Be If We Have a 10%-20% Fall Sell-Off

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The Dividend Kings are the 58 companies that have raised their dividends for at least 50 years, reflecting their dependability and reliability. They are two “must-have” options for investors who rely on passive income to boost overall returns. Unlike the Dividend Aristocrats, the Dividend Kings do not have to be members of the S&P 500. One of the top reasons to be a long-term Dividend Kings stockholder is that many of these companies have raised their dividends through every market crash and meltdown since the Black Monday crash of 1987, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell a stunning 22% in one day.

Although no official ranking exists for the safest Dividend Kings, analysts most often emphasize criteria such as low payout ratios, strong free cash flow that covers the dividend, wide economic moats with little or no threat to products or services, and conservative balance sheets with low debt. A handful of names consistently rank toward the more defensive, lower-risk end of the current 57-company list. We found five that screen especially well on these measures, and we explain why they stand out.

Why Do We Cover the Dividend Kings?

A calculator, a fountain pen, and a stack of papers are visible on a light-colored desk. The word 'DIVIDENDS' is displayed in bold white letters within a double-lined rectangular border with star accents, overlaid on the image. The scene is slightly desaturated with a cool, blueish tint.

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Companies that have raised dividends for shareholders for 50 years or more are the kinds of investments passive income investors need. Dependability is crucial for individuals seeking to grow their annual income through dividend stock investments.

S&P Global

Founded in 1860, S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI | SPGI Price Prediction) offers critical insights and data for markets worldwide, providing credit ratings and analytics, maintaining indices like the Dow Jones, and paying a 0.89% dividend. This company has a wide economic moat and a notably conservative target payout ratio of just 20–30% of earnings, which analysts highlight as evidence of strong balance-sheet health in a business model that generates abundant free cash flow.

Its operations consist of five businesses:

  • S&P Global Market Intelligence
  • S&P Global Ratings
  • S&P Global Commodity Insights
  • S&P Global Mobility
  • S&P Dow Jones Indices

Market Intelligence is a global provider of multi-asset-class data and analytics integrated with purpose-built workflow solutions.

Ratings is an independent provider of credit ratings, research, and analytics, offering investors and other market participants information, ratings, and benchmarks.

Commodity Insights is an independent provider of information and benchmark prices for the commodity and energy markets.

Mobility provides solutions for the entire automotive value chain, including vehicle manufacturers and retailers.

Indices is a global index provider that maintains a variety of valuation and index benchmarks for investment advisors, wealth managers, and institutional investors.

SPGI analyst ratings

National Fuel Gas

This top company distributes and transports natural gas to hundreds of thousands of customers in Western New York and Northwestern Pennsylvania. National Fuel Gas (NYSE: NFG) is a diversified energy company that pays a 2.57% dividend. Utilities typically generate stable, regulated cash flows, and this one currently trades at one of the lowest forward earnings multiples among Dividend Kings, suggesting the market is not pricing in any dividend risk.

It operates through four segments:

  • Exploration and Production
  • Pipeline and Storage
  • Gathering
  • Utility

The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces natural gas and oil. The Pipeline and Storage segment provides interstate natural gas transportation services through an integrated gas pipeline system in Pennsylvania and New York, and it owns and operates underground natural gas storage fields. This segment also transports natural gas for the National Fuel Gas Distribution Corporation and other utilities, industrial companies, and power producers in New York State.

The Gathering segment builds, owns, and operates natural gas processing and pipeline gathering facilities in the Appalachian region, providing gathering services to Seneca. The Utility segment sells natural gas or provides natural gas utility services to various customers in:

  • Buffalo
  • Niagara Falls
  • Jamestown
  • Erie and Sharon in Pennsylvania

Bank of America has a Buy rating with a $107 target price.

NFG analyst ratings

ABM Industries

This is likely the most off-the-radar stock in the Dividend Kings lineup. ABM Industries (NYSE: ABM) is a provider of integrated facility, engineering, and infrastructure solutions. The company has a very low 31% payout ratio, a 2.36% yield, and a solid safety and growth grade, giving a substantial cushion if earnings decline in a downturn.

The company’s segments include:

  • Business & Industry (B&I)
  • Manufacturing & Distribution (M&D)
  • Education
  • Aviation
  • Technical Solutions

The B&I segment encompasses janitorial, facilities engineering, and parking services for commercial real estate properties, sports and entertainment venues, and other facilities. Meanwhile, the M&D segment provides integrated facility services, engineering, janitorial, and other specialized services.

The Education segment delivers janitorial, custodial, landscaping and grounds, facilities engineering, and parking services. The Aviation segment supports airlines and airports with services ranging from parking and janitorial to passenger assistance, catering logistics, air cabin maintenance, and transportation. The Technical Solutions segment specializes in facility infrastructure and mechanical and electrical services.

Farmers & Merchants Bank

This name likely doesn’t ring a bell, but with a solid 1.48% dividend, it’s another safe choice. Farmers & Merchants Bank (OTC: FMCB) is the parent company of Farmers & Merchants Bank of Central California. This small regional bank, which is not as widely followed, currently trades at the lowest trailing earnings multiple among all the Dividend Kings.

The company offers a range of deposit products, including checking, savings, money market accounts, time certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, and online banking services for both business and personal accounts. It offers a range of lending products, including commercial, commercial real estate, construction, and other products. Commercial products include term loans, leases, lines of credit, other working capital financing, and letters of credit.

Its financing products for individuals include automobile financing, lines of credit, residential real estate, and others. It also offers specialized services tailored to commercial accounts. These services include a credit card program for merchants, lockbox and other collection services, account reconciliation, investment sweep, online account access, and electronic funds.

Pentair

This Dividend King is based in London and pays a 1.63% dividend. Pentair (NYSE: PNR) delivers a comprehensive range of smart, sustainable water solutions for homes, businesses, and industries worldwide. Providing these smart and sustainable water solutions globally is more defensive than typical industrial cyclicals.

The company’s segments include the Flow segment, which designs, manufactures, and sells a variety of fluid treatment and pump products and systems, including:

  • Pressure vessels
  • Gas recovery solutions
  • Membrane bioreactors
  • Wastewater reuse systems
  • Advanced membrane filtration and separation systems
  • Water disposal pumps
  • Water supply pumps
  • Fluid transfer pumps

Its Water Solutions segment designs, manufactures, and sells commercial and residential water treatment products and systems, including pressure tanks, control valves, and activated carbon products.

The Pool segment designs, manufactures, and sells a complete line of energy-efficient residential and commercial pool equipment and accessories, including pumps, filters, heaters, lights, automatic controls, automatic cleaners, and maintenance equipment.

PNR analyst ratings

 

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

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About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.

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