Apple vs. Salesforce: The Better Stock May Not Be the One You Expect
Apple just posted a record quarter and Salesforce blew past earnings expectations, but the headline numbers on both stocks hide something the market may be mispricing. One trades at a steep discount to the other, and the cheaper one might…
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL | AAPL Price Prediction) and Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) just delivered post-earnings reports that pull in opposite directions.
Apple posted a record June quarter built on iPhone and Mac demand. Salesforce leaned on Agentforce, Data 360, and Slack to sell an AI monetization story to a skeptical Street. Both beat expectations. The character of each beat could not look more different.
iPhone Records Meet an Agentforce Land Grab
Apple’s Q3 FY26 revenue hit $109.42 billion, up 16.36% year over year, with iPhone at $54.3 billion, up 22% and Mac growing 29% despite supply constraints. Tim Cook called it “the most powerful and most popular iPhone lineup we’ve ever had.”
Services set another record at $30.7 billion, up 12%. The catch: tariff refunds added roughly 2 percentage points to gross margin and about $0.11 to EPS, so the underlying beat was smaller than the headline suggests.
Salesforce told a stranger story. Revenue reached $11.35 billion, up 10.83%, and non-GAAP EPS of $5.90 blew past the $3.27 consensus. That 80% beat is misleading. Roughly $2.53 per share came from strategic investment gains.
Strip that out and the operating story still looks strong: cRPO of $33.5 billion, up 14%, and Agentforce ARR crossing $1.5 billion, up over 240% year over year.
| Business Driver | Apple | Salesforce |
| Main Growth Engine | iPhone and Mac cycle | Agentforce, Data 360, Slack |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 16.36% | 10.83% |
| Main Margin Risk | Memory costs and tariffs | License volatility, mix shift |
Two Very Different Bets on What AI Actually Sells
Apple treats AI as a device feature. Cook described on-device intelligence as “very strategic and sort of a competitive weapon”, backed by Private Cloud Compute and a new Siri AI unveiled at WWDC26.
Monetization is indirect: sell more iPhones, upsell iCloud storage, expand Services. Salesforce is charging directly for agents. Benioff said AI ARR is “about to cross $4 billion”, and customers drove 3.2 billion Agentic Work Units in Q2, up 97% quarter over quarter. Capital return philosophies also diverge. Apple returned $33 billion to shareholders in the quarter.
Salesforce is finishing a $25 billion accelerated repurchase that shrank the diluted share count from 962 million to 821 million. Valuation looks lopsided: AAPL trades at 33 forward earnings versus CRM at 19 forward.
What Could Reset the Comparison Fast
Apple guided to 9% to 11% September quarter growth with supply constraints expected to worsen across iPhone, Mac, and iPad. Memory prices remain what Cook called “a 100-year flood”.
Salesforce’s next test is CloudForce, its Claude-integrated product going generally available in September, plus Dreamforce and the close of Contentful and Fin. I want to see whether AI ARR growth compounds off a bigger base or decelerates as the low-hanging pilots run out.
Why I Lean Toward Salesforce, With Caveats
Personally, the setup favors CRM. The stock jumped 22.39% in a week and still trades cheaper than Apple on forward earnings. If you want durable brand strength, huge buybacks, and a 2.5 billion device installed base, Apple keeps working. It is up 37.98% over the past year, and the composite sentiment reads neutral at 49.97.
But I find the Salesforce risk/reward more interesting here. Agentforce is monetizing faster than the market expected, the share count is shrinking meaningfully, and sentiment has turned bullish at 67.86. If AI ARR growth cracks below triple digits, I would reconsider. Until then, CRM looks like the more asymmetric bet.
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