Southern Company vs. NextEra Energy: One Stock Pulls Far Ahead on Sustainability
Southern Company offers a bigger dividend check today, but NextEra Energy is quietly building a growth engine that could leave Southern's payout in the dust over a 25-year retirement. The gap between these two utilities is wider than most investors…
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A retirement-focused investor may be considering whether to own Southern Company (NYSE:SO | SO Price Prediction) or NextEra Energy (NYSE:NEE) right now. Both are regulated electric utilities that benefit from data center demand in the Southeast and Florida. Both have also lost ground over the past year, with Southern down 7.58% and NextEra down 5.56%. The two dividends grow at very different rates, though, and that difference determines this comparison.
Yield and Price: Southern Pays More Today
Southern’s annualized forward dividend is $3.04 and the stock trades at $86.05, which works out to a forward yield of about 3.53%. NextEra pays $2.4928 a year at $77.16 per share, a forward yield of roughly 3.23%. Southern also trades at a slightly lower forward multiple: 17x against 18x for NextEra.
Winner: Southern. It pays more income for every dollar committed and costs a little less on forward earnings.
Dividend Safety: NextEra Has More Room to Spare
Southern’s forward dividend is about 70.7% of its fiscal 2025 EPS of $4.30. NextEra’s is about 67.2% of its 2025 adjusted EPS of $3.71. That figure falls to roughly 63.6% at the low end of its 2026 guidance of $3.92 to $4.02.
Cash flow points the same way. In 2025, Southern’s capital spending of $12.74 billion was larger than its $9.80 billion of operating cash flow. That left a $2.94 billion shortfall before it paid $3.02 billion in dividends. NextEra’s operating cash flow of $12.49 billion covered $9.27 billion of reported capex and left $3.21 billion to put toward its $4.68 billion payout. Both companies relied partly on outside funding to cover their dividends, and NextEra came much closer to full internal coverage.
One warning: NextEra’s capex hit $16.08 billion in the June 2026 quarter alone, so its 2026 spending is worth tracking.
Winner: NextEra. It has the lower payout ratio and stronger cash coverage.
Growth Behind Future Raises: NextEra Pulls Far Ahead
Southern lifted its quarterly dividend from $0.74 to $0.76 in February, a raise of about 2.7%. It has raised the payout by two cents a year in every year since 2023. Data centers are driving growth: commercial kWh sales rose 7.3% in the second quarter. Southern has not given a multi-year EPS growth target, however, and accelerated depreciation from wind repowering will cost about $205 million more in 2026.
NextEra raised its dividend from $0.5665 to $0.6232, a 10% increase. It plans raises of about 10% a year through 2026, then 6% a year through 2028. Earnings support that plan: management targets adjusted EPS growth of 8%+ a year through 2032. The company also has about 21 GW of data center interest at FPL and is restarting the Duane Arnold nuclear plant under a 25-year contract with Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL). CEO John Ketchum said: “We continue to expect to grow adjusted earnings per share at a compound annual growth rate of 8%+ through 2032.”
Winner: NextEra. Its planned raises are larger and backed by explicit long-term guidance.
Verdict: NextEra Takes the Retirement Income Crown
NextEra wins two of the three categories, and its dividend growth profile looks stronger for an income investor near retirement. A retirement can last 25 years, and a dividend growing 6% to 10% a year will soon outpace one growing about 2.7% a year. The extra yield Southern pays today is a small edge by comparison.
NextEra has more risk. Its beta is 0.639 versus 0.301 for Southern. Its shares are up only 10% over five years, while Southern’s are up 64.97%. Its Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.54 also missed expectations. Analysts are more positive on NextEra anyway, with 11 Buy and 3 Strong Buy ratings. Southern has 13 Hold ratings.
Southern tends to be the better fit for retirees who are already living off their dividends and need the biggest check and the calmest stock right now. Investors focused on long-term dividend growth may find NextEra’s profile more closely lined up with that goal (the whole idea of building a ladder you never have to sell out of is something we laid out in a free dividend ladder guide). Investors should watch the regulatory review of the Dominion Energy (NYSE:D) merger, which is expected to close in the second half of 2027, and whether the first post-2026 raise meets the 6% target.
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