A $1,000 Exxon Stake From Five Years Ago Is Now Worth $3,231, and Shares Are Up More Than a Third in 2026
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For anyone eyeing an investment, here is what a $1,000 investment in Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM | XOM Price Prediction) would be worth today over 1, 5, and 10 years, compared with the S&P 500. A buyer at the Nov. 30, 2021 month-end close of $59.84 who reinvested every dividend now has $3,231. That value is based on the $164.47 close on Nov. 10, 2026.
Cost Cuts, Guyana and the Permian Rebuilt Exxon’s Earnings Base
WTI crude was $81.47 per barrel on Nov. 11, 2021. It rose to $123.64 on March 8, 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine, then slid to $57.26 by the end of 2025. Over that period, Exxon concentrated on what it calls advantaged assets. It completed the about $60 billion Pioneer Natural Resources purchase in 2024. By 2025, the Permian, Guyana, and LNG made up 59% of production, and output hit a record 4.7 million oil-equivalent barrels per day. Structural cost savings since 2019 now total $16.9 billion.
In 2026, WTI went from $57.21 on Jan. 2 to $114.58 on April 7 as Middle East disruptions limited supply. Third-quarter adjusted EPS came in at $4.23, ahead of the $3.98 consensus, with Gulf Coast refineries running at 100% crude utilization.
Five-Year Holders More Than Tripled Their Money While the Decade Trailed the Index
1-Year Return
- Initial Investment: $1,000
- Current Value: $1,431.20
- Total Return: 43.12%
- S&P 500 (same period): $1,100.50 (10.05%)
5-Year Return (dividends reinvested)
- Initial Investment: $1,000
- Current Value: $3,231
- Total Return: 223.1%
- Annualized Return: about 26.4%
- S&P 500 (from Nov. 11, 2021, price only): $1,617 (61.7%)
10-Year Return (dividends reinvested)
- Initial Investment: $1,000
- Current Value: $2,877
- Total Return: 187.7%
- Annualized Return: about 11.1%
- S&P 500 (from Nov. 11, 2016, price only): $3,465.10 (246.51%)
On share price alone, the five-year investment would be worth $2,748, so reinvested dividends added $483. The quarterly payout went from $0.88 in late 2021 to $1.07 now. The 10-year investment is worth less than the five-year one. The stock is up 36.67% from its $120.34 close at the end of 2025, though it dropped 7.32% over the past week.
A 44-Year Dividend Streak Meets Shifting Oil Prices
Exxon trades at a P/E of about 23 with a 2.57% dividend yield. It has raised its dividend for 44 consecutive years and plans $20 billion in buybacks in 2027.
Results could be supported if Permian output maintains 9% annual growth through 2030, as targeted in mid-2026, and Guyana’s fifth production vessel starts as scheduled in the fourth quarter of 2026. Results could be squeezed if WTI, last at $99.64, slips back toward 2025 levels or the move away from fossil fuels speeds up.
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David Beren has been a Flywheel Publishing contributor since 2022. Writing for 24/7 Wall St. since 2023, David loves to write about topics of all shapes and sizes. As a technology expert, David focuses heavily on consumer electronics brands, automobiles, and general technology. He has previously written for LifeWire, formerly About.com. As a part-time freelance writer, David’s “day job” has been working on and leading social media for multiple Fortune 100 brands. David loves the flexibility of this field and its ability to reach customers exactly where they like to spend their time. Additionally, David previously published his own blog, TmoNews.com, which reached 3 million readers in its first year. In addition to freelance and social media work, David loves to spend time with his family and children and relive the glory days of video game consoles by playing any retro game console he can get his hands on.
