Airplanes Boost November Durable Goods Orders

Durable goods orders in November rose month over month but fell short of expectations even given a sharp downward adjustment in October's total.

Published December 21, 2018, 9:45am ET · 1 min read

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An expansive, high-angle interior view of a vast aircraft manufacturing facility. Multiple large commercial aircraft are visible in various stages of assembly, some with unfinished fuselages in teal and light gray. Overhead, a complex network of yellow and green structural beams and gantries with industrial cranes spans the ceiling. In the center, a tall, multi-story blue and gray industrial structure stands prominently. Below, the factory floor is filled with workers, equipment, parts, and workstations. An American flag is visible on a far wall.
A wide view inside a Boeing aircraft manufacturing facility showcases the immense scale and complexity of operations, a key focus as the company navigates ongoing production challenges. © Jetstar Airways / Wikimedia Commons

The U.S. Department of Commerce reported Friday morning that durable goods orders for November rose by 0.8% compared to the prior month to $250.8 billion. The October total was revised downward by 4.3% to $248.9 billion.

Excluding transportation, new orders dropped by 0.3% and excluding defense new orders were down 0.1%. Transportation equipment orders, primarily for airplanes, rose 2.9% to $87 billion.

Economists were looking for a month-over-month increase of 1.4% and a gain of 0.3% excluding transportation. Neither estimate was met.

Aircraft orders, both civilian and defense, rose 17.7% for commercial planes and 15.4% for military aircraft. Orders for primary metals rose 1.0%, fabrications were up 0.5% and communications equipment added 0.8% for the month.

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The good news pretty much ends there. Orders were weak for electrical equipment (down 0.7%), unchanged for computers and down 0.2% for motor vehicles. The biggest disappointment was machinery orders, the heart of the capital goods group. That tumbled by 1.7%.

New orders in non-defense capital goods (aka, core capital goods) rose 0.7%, including aircraft, and fell 0.6% excluding aircraft orders. Shipments of core capital goods fell 0.1% in November.

Stock futures pushed higher after both the durable goods and final third-quarter GDP reports were released, but investors continue to be wary of an impending government shutdown.

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Paul Ausick

Paul Ausick has been writing for 247Wallst.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.

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