Most Twentysomethings Are Already Saving for Retirement, But 47% Just Guessed How Much They Need

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By David Beren Published

Quick Read

  • 77% of twentysomethings save for retirement, but 47% guessed their target was $300,000, a figure far below the $1.26M to $1.6M that other 2025 surveys suggest they will need.

  • 28% of twentysomethings have already tapped their 401(k) early, with 42% of Gen Z using those withdrawals to pay off debt.

  • Workers under 25 defer just 5.1% of pay on average, well below Vanguard's recommended range of 12 to 15%, which suggests that a guessed low target drives chronic under-saving.

  • Are you ahead, or behind on retirement? SmartAsset's free tool can match you with a financial advisor in minutes to help you answer that today. Each advisor has been carefully vetted, and must act in your best interests. Don't waste another minute; learn more here.

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Most Twentysomethings Are Already Saving for Retirement, But 47% Just Guessed How Much They Need

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The twentysomething cohort is doing something past generations rarely did at the same age: they are actually saving for retirement. 77% of twentysomethings contribute to a retirement account, with a median starting age of 21, according to the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies’ October 2025 report, Retirement Throughout the Ages: The American Middle Class. Beneath the participation rate sits a more revealing figure.

Only 17% of twentysomethings say they have “a lot” of working knowledge about personal finance, and 47% guessed at their retirement savings target, which came in at a median of $300,000. Strong behavior on autopilot sits over a thin understanding underneath. The decision to enroll often happens automatically through a workplace plan. The decision about how much will ultimately be needed has not really been made.

What twentysomethings have, and what they think they will need

Twentysomethings have accumulated a median of $43,000 in household retirement accounts. That balance, started in the early twenties and left alone, has decades of compounding ahead. The math works in their favor in a way that it does not work for anyone older. Transamerica’s separate generational data puts Gen Z’s median household retirement savings at $31,000 with a 15% contribution rate, compared with $65,000 and a 10% rate for Millennials. The younger cohort is deferring a larger share of pay earlier.

The $300,000 target is where the story complicates. Other 2025 surveys put the perceived retirement “magic number” far higher. Northwestern Mutual’s 2025 Planning & Progress Study landed at $1.26 million, and Schwab’s 2025 401(k) Participant Survey put it at $1.6 million. A $300,000 figure, drawn at 4% annually, produces about $12,000 a year before Social Security. Whether that is “enough” depends on assumptions a twentysomething has not yet been asked to make.

Early withdrawals are already happening

Saving early only compounds if the money stays put. 28% of twentysomethings have already taken an early withdrawal from a 401(k) or similar plan. The pattern fits the broader generational data: 46% of Gen Z have taken an early or hardship withdrawal from a retirement account, and 26% have done so specifically from a 401(k). More notable is that 42% of Gen Z withdrawals went toward paying off debt, according to Transamerica’s data on withdrawal reasons, which is both surprising and disappointing.

Of course, the economic backdrop helps explain the leakage, as the U.S. personal savings rate has fallen from 6.2% in early 2024 to 3.7% in the first quarter of 2026, the lowest reading in the BEA’s recent series. Headline PCE inflation is running at 3.8% year over year as of April 2026, with energy prices up 18% year over year. Average hourly earnings rose to $37.41 in April 2026, but consumer sentiment fell to 49.8, the lowest reading in the prior 12 months. In that environment, a 401(k) balance can start to look like an emergency fund. All of this is to say that retirement numbers are all over the map.

What “guessed” really means

The 47% guess rate matters because the size of the target drives the contribution rate, the asset allocation, and the willingness to leave the account alone during a financial squeeze. Vanguard’s 2024 plan data puts the average employee-elective deferral rate at 7.7% and the median at 6.8%, with participants under age 25 deferring an average of 5.1%. Vanguard’s own guidance suggests a total employee-plus-employer contribution rate of 12% to 15%. A twentysomething aiming at $300,000 may calibrate to a lower deferral than one aiming at seven figures.

Transamerica CEO Catherine Collinson framed the disconnect this way in the report: “Twentysomethings may be strained, but most are saving for retirement. They are getting a strong start with decades for their savings to compound and grow. However, they need to learn about personal finance because the better-informed decisions they make early on can have a long-term impact.”

Where the early start is and is not enough

The data describe a generation that has cleared the hardest behavioral hurdle: starting. What has not yet been cleared is the planning layer that determines whether starting early translates into finishing well. A 21-year-old contributing 5% toward a guessed $300,000 target, who withdraws funds at 27 to cover debt, will not capture the compounding that makes the early start valuable in the first place. The early advantage is real, but conditional on contribution rates, target-setting, and leaving the balance untouched, which is becoming increasingly harder for twentysomethings to do against the current economic backdrop.

 

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About the Author David Beren →

David Beren has been a Flywheel Publishing contributor since 2022. Writing for 24/7 Wall St. since 2023, David loves to write about topics of all shapes and sizes. As a technology expert, David focuses heavily on consumer electronics brands, automobiles, and general technology. He has previously written for LifeWire, formerly About.com. As a part-time freelance writer, David’s “day job” has been working on and leading social media for multiple Fortune 100 brands. David loves the flexibility of this field and its ability to reach customers exactly where they like to spend their time. Additionally, David previously published his own blog, TmoNews.com, which reached 3 million readers in its first year. In addition to freelance and social media work, David loves to spend time with his family and children and relive the glory days of video game consoles by playing any retro game console he can get his hands on.

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