17. San Francisco 49ers
> Avg. odds: 36.8/1
> 2018 record: 4-12
> Strength of schedule: 11th hardest
> Key addition: Kwon Alexander
The San Francisco 49ers 2018 season became a lost cause after starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo tore his ACL early in the season. It is difficult to know what to expect from a player coming off that kind of injury, but oddsmakers seem to think Jimmy G will be at least serviceable, putting San Francisco’s Super Bowl chances towards the middle of the pack, relative to other teams.
16. Houston Texans
> Avg. odds: 27.6/1
> 2018 record: 11-5
> Strength of schedule: 4th hardest
> Key addition: Matt Kalil
Despite their strong 2018 season, the Houston Texans are getting little attention as potential Super Bowl contenders. The team’s hopes hinge on the safety of quarterback Deshaun Watson, who was sacked more than any other QB in the NFL last season. The Texans’ Super Bowl hopes took a hit when starting running back Lamar Miller tore his ACL in preseason, ending his 2019 season before it began.
15. Atlanta Falcons
> Avg. odds: 31/1
> 2018 record: 7-9
> Strength of schedule: 7th hardest (tied)
> Key addition: Adrian Clayborn
Though the Atlanta Falcons had one of the worst defenses in the NFL in 2018, they did very little to address that in the draft or through free agency. Still, some experts are predicting a bounce back season after a 7-9 2018, and oddsmakers believe the Falcons are not among the upper echelon of Super Bowl contenders.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars
> Avg. odds: 28.2/1
> 2018 record: 5-11
> Strength of schedule: 3rd hardest
> Key addition: Nick Foles
After winning the AFC South in 2017, the Jags plummeted to last place in the division the next season. While the defense was terrific both seasons, the offense took a major step back in 2018. Jacksonville will hope new QB Nick Foles can improve things, but he will face a major challenge as his team will have one of the toughest schedules in the NFL.
13. Seattle Seahawks
> Avg. odds: 32/1
> 2018 record: 10-6
> Strength of schedule: 8th easiest
> Key addition: Ezekiel Ansah
The Seattle Seahawks lost several key players from their strong 2018 season. Star defenders Earl Thomas and Frank Clark will play elsewhere in 2019, and wide receiver Doug Baldwin unexpectedly retired due to injuries. With Russell Wilson under center, the team has a chance to win any game, but it may lack the star power it once had in its back-to-back Super Bowl appearances.