Tesla Inc
Q4 2024 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −4.66%.
Did TSLA Beat Earnings? Q4 2024 Results
Tesla closed out 2024 on a disappointing note, missing Wall Street expectations on both the top and bottom lines as weakening vehicle pricing weighed heavily on results. The electric vehicle maker posted fourth-quarter revenue of $25.71 billion, up just 2.1% year-over-year but falling short of the $27.55 billion consensus by 6.70%, while non-GAAP EPS of $0.73 came in below the $0.76 estimate by 3.95%. The core culprit was a sharp 8% year-over-year decline in automotive revenue to $19.80 billion, driven by lower average selling prices on Model 3 and Model Y vehicles as Tesla leaned on pricing actions and financing incentives to sustain volume. GAAP operating income fell 23% to $1.58 billion, compressing the operating margin to 6.2% from 8.2% a year ago, even as record energy storage deployments of 11.0 GWh added a meaningful offset. Institutional investors have maintained conviction in the stock despite the earnings softness, with shares having risen roughly 92% over the past twelve months. Looking ahead, Tesla expects vehicle growth to resume in 2025, with more affordable models entering production in the first half of the year and energy storage deployments targeted to grow at least 50% year-over-year.
- Record vehicle deliveries of 495,570 units in Q4, up 2% YoY
- Record energy storage deployments of 11.0 GWh in Q4, up 244% YoY
- COGS per vehicle reached all-time low below $35,000 driven by raw material cost improvements
- Energy business achieved record gross profit in Q4
- Higher regulatory credit revenue
- Growth in Services and Other revenue up 31% YoY
- Reduced S3XY vehicle ASP negatively impacted revenue and margins
- Increased operating expenses driven by AI and other R&D projects
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Tesla expects the vehicle business to return to growth in 2025, with the rate depending on autonomy acceleration, factory production ramps, and macroeconomic conditions. New more affordable models remain on track for production start in the first half of 2025, utilizing aspects of both next-generation and current platforms on existing manufacturing lines, enabling capital-efficient growth toward a capacity of close to three million vehicles (over 60% growth versus 2024 production) before investing in new lines. Energy storage deployments are expected to grow at least 50% YoY in 2025. The Robotaxi business is expected to begin launching later in 2025 in parts of the U.S., while Cybercab volume production is planned for 2026. FSD (Supervised) is expected to launch in Europe and China in 2025. Semi factory first truck builds are scheduled by end of 2025 with ramp beginning in early 2026. The company expects hardware-related profits to be accompanied over time by acceleration of AI, software, and fleet-based profits.
TSLA YoY Financials
TSLA Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.