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Applovin (NASDAQ: APP) Up 8% Today: Here’s Why

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By Ian Cooper Published

Key Points

  • Shares of Applovin are surging thanks to strong first-quarter results and a broad tech sector rebound on the heels of cooling trade war tensions.

  • Free cash flow for the quarter stood at $826 million, marking a 19% growth quarter-over-quarter.

  • Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and AppLovin didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

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Shares of $127.6 billion Applovin (NASDAQ: APP | APP Price Prediction) are up more than 8% or $28.63 on the day.

Momentum stocks like Applovin are mostly surging higher and short positions are covered and investors FOMO kicking in and not wanted to miss on the rally.

Momentum is all thanks to strong first quarter results and a broad tech sector rebound on the heels of cooling trade war tensions.

AppLovin just posted first-quarter revenue of $1.48 billion (up 40% year over year), which beat estimates of $1.38 billion. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.67, above the $1.45 consensus. The advertising segment led growth, with 71% year-over-year revenue growth with an 81% margin.

Free cash flow for the quarter stood at $826 million, marking a 19% growth quarter-over-quarter. EPS of $1.67 beat estimates by 23 cents.

Guidance was just as impressive.

CFO Stumpf says second-quarter advertising revenue will range from $1.195 million to $1.215 million. Adjusted EBITDA will range from $970 million to $990 million.

APP is also targeting an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 81%.

Analysts are Still Bullish 

Analysts at Jefferies reiterated a buy rating on the APP stock with a price target of $530.

“Despite highly impressive 71% y/y ad rev [revenue] growth, we believe the fastest growth still lies ahead,” said analysts led by Brent Thill, as quoted by Seeking Alpha.

Morgan Stanley reiterated an overweight rating with a $420 price target.

“APP delivered a strong beat as the core gaming ads outperformed and non-gaming continued to build momentum with an estimated ~$150mn contribution to 1Q,” said the firm.

Wells Fargo also reiterated an overweight rating with a price target of $405. “Much better-than-expected 1Q results/2Q guide vs. a backdrop of investor trepidation created by multiple short reports,” added the firm, as also quoted by Seeking Alpha.

Photo of Ian Cooper
About the Author Ian Cooper →

Ian Cooper is a veteran market analyst and investment strategist with more than 20 years of experience covering stocks, commodities, and macro trends. Since 1999, he has helped investors identify market opportunities using a blend of technical analysis, fundamental research, and market sentiment.

He is the creator of the ADD News Flow Strategy, which focuses on trading market reactions to major news events and investor psychology. Cooper was also among the analysts who warned about the 2008 financial crisis and major financial institution collapses ahead of the broader market.

Before joining 247 Wall St., Cooper wrote extensively for InvestorPlace and other financial publications, covering market trends, trading strategies, and investment opportunities.

Applovin (NASDAQ: APP) Up 8% Today: Here’s Why

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