Live coverage has ended. The full story is below.
Marvell (Nasdaq: MRVL | MRVL Price Prediction) heads into earnings with clear momentum behind its AI-driven portfolio and one of the strongest design-win pipelines in the semiconductor industry. The company has reshaped itself around accelerated computing, custom silicon and high-speed optical connectivity, allowing data center to expand from one-third of revenue two years ago to nearly three-quarters today. Marvell stock is up 51% over the past 6 months and also up 2.54% today, heading into a 4:05 PM ET earnings release.
What to Expect When Marvell Reports
| Metric |
Estimate |
Year-Ago (Q3 FY25) |
| Revenue |
$2.07 billion |
$1.52 billion |
| EPS (Normalized) |
$0.74 |
$0.43 |
| Next Qtr. Revenue (Jan 2026) |
$2.17 billion |
$1.82 billion |
| Next Qtr. EPS (Normalized) |
$0.77 |
$0.60 |
| Full-Year 2026 Revenue |
$8.14 billion |
$5.77 billion |
| Full-Year 2026 EPS |
$2.80 |
$1.57 |
Sales growth expectations remain exceptionally high, +36% YoY for the quarter, +41% YoY for FY26, reflecting Marvell’s expanding AI share and normalization in its non-data-center segments.
Key Areas to Watch
1. Custom XPU and XPU-Attach Ramp- Management disclosed 18 multigenerational sockets and “several” additional wins secured since the June AI investor event. These wins represent multi-billion-dollar lifetime revenue potential and are the core of Marvell’s plan to grow its data center share from 13% in 2024 to 20% of a $94B TAM by 2028.
Watch for commentary on Q4 reacceleration following what management called a “one-quarter digestion” in Q3.
2. Electro-Optics: 1.6T DSP Shipments and 400-Gig Per-Lane PAM- Marvell began volume shipments of its 200-gig per lane / 1.6T PAM DSPs and demonstrated 400-gig per lane PAM at Optical Fiber Conference — a next-gen step toward 3.2T modules. Demand remains strong, with double-digit sequential growth expected in optics.
This business is now a cornerstone of AI infrastructure scaling.
3. Scale-Up Switching and UALink Opportunity- Marvell is developing ultra-low-latency scale-up switches for Ethernet and UALink fabrics, addressing hyperscaler demand for tightly interconnected GPU clusters.
First products are expected within two years, positioning Marvell at the center of AI rack-scale networking.
4. Enterprise Networking and Carrier Recovery- After hitting a trough of ~$900M annualized revenue in early FY25, the combined segment is expected to reach roughly $1.7B annualized in Q3.
Management highlighted improving inventory conditions and strong adoption of next-node products.
5. Capital Allocation After the Automotive Ethernet Sale- Marvell closed the divestiture for $2.5B in cash, giving the company expanded flexibility for buybacks and selective AI-focused tuck-in M&A.
Expect commentary on how much capital is being redeployed toward accelerating data center leadership.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.