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Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO | CSCO Price Prediction) reports Q2 FY2026 earnings tonight after the bell. Cisco’s fiscal year ends in July, so Q2 FY2026 covers the October-December 2025 period. After hitting all-time highs yesterday, the networking giant faces heightened expectations around its AI infrastructure positioning and whether enterprise demand is accelerating.
What Wall Street Expects
Analysts are looking for EPS of $1.02 and revenue of $15.42 billion (some estimates are as low as $15.1 billion, so keep that in mind if they slightly miss $15.4 billion).
That revenue figure represents roughly 5% year-over-year growth. For context, Q1 delivered $1.00 in EPS, so Wall Street is modeling modest sequential improvement.
Full-year guidance matters more. Management previously set FY2026 revenue at $59-60 billion and EPS at $4.00-4.06. Any adjustment to those ranges will reset sentiment fast. The company has beaten estimates in eight consecutive quarters, averaging a 3.3% surprise. The streak has built credibility, but it also raises the bar.
Wall Street is currently expecting about $60.8 billion in sales for Fiscal 2026.
AI Infrastructure and Networking Demand
I’ll be watching how much revenue Cisco is actually recognizing from AI infrastructure orders. Last quarter, the company booked over $800 million in AI infrastructure orders and recognized roughly $1 billion in AI revenue for the full fiscal year. The question is whether that momentum is building or plateauing.
The newly launched Silicon One G300 chip won’t materially impact this quarter’s numbers, but management’s commentary on customer pipeline and design wins will matter. Cisco claims the chip delivers 28% faster AI job completion times and directly challenges Broadcom and Nvidia in the $600 billion AI infrastructure market.
Enterprise networking trends are also worth watching. Campus refresh cycles and data center switching are key drivers. Last quarter, networking orders grew double digits for the fourth consecutive quarter, led by webscale customers and enterprise routing. If that momentum holds, it validates the thesis that network infrastructure upgrades are accelerating to support AI workloads.
Security, Margins, and Guidance Tone
Security growth has been a sticking point. Last quarter, security orders grew mid-single digits overall, but double digits excluding U.S. Federal. Management maintains a long-term target of 15-17% growth for security and observability. Progress toward that range will determine whether investors believe the Splunk acquisition is paying off.
Gross margins came in at 68.4% last quarter. Any compression would raise concerns about product mix or competitive pricing pressure. Operating leverage is critical as Cisco scales its AI product portfolio.
Finally, guidance tone matters more than the print. If management sounds confident about second-half acceleration and raises the full-year outlook, shares could extend yesterday’s rally. If they hedge on enterprise spending or push out AI revenue expectations, the market will punish the stock despite a solid quarter. Execution has been strong, but the valuation at 34x trailing earnings leaves little room for disappointment.
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