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Live: Will AeroVironment (AVAV) Beat Q3 Earnings Tonight?

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By Eric Bleeker Updated Published

Quick Read

  • AeroVironment (AVAV) reports earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts expect adjusted EPS of $.69 and revenues of $475.7 million. Keep in mind that the company has missed earnings in 3 out of the last 4 quarters as Wall Street struggles to model the company after its BlueHalo deal.

  • This live blog is being updated by Eric Bleeker – who hosts the 24/7 Wall St. AI Investor Podcast. So you’ll get expert analysis of their earnings. Simply stay on this page and new updates will appear below automatically. We expect AeroVironment’s earnings to be released at about 4:10 p.m. ET. 

  • The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 stocks and AeroVironment wasn't one of them. Get them here FREE.

Live Updates

AeroVironment CEO Emphasizes Scaling Manufacturing to Accelerate Sales in 2027

Here’s a final quote from AeroVironment’s CEO summarizing the company’s opportunities:

“Before turning the call over to Kevin, let me summarize with key following comments. While results were below expectations, we are extremely confident in the top line growth on several of our key programs and product lines in the fourth quarter and beyond, and are on track for a record fourth quarter and record fiscal year.

We’re focused on scaling manufacturing to meet rising demand on several of our product lines and high-growth markets. We recognize the one center generation opportunity we’re part of, and we will continue to drive results. The current conflict in Iran is a reminder that our country and our international allies rely on our defense, aerospace and space capabilities. AV’s innovative portfolio is very well positioned to meet this demand and support our country and our allies critical defense needs.

We’re confident that we are well positioned to deliver high priority multi-domain solutions due to our scalable manufacturing, differentiated technology and innovation and strong customer alignment, which enables us to meet our customers’ evolving needs. “

No Movement Tonight During Tonight's Call So Far

We’re 15 minutes into AeroVironment’s call and so far there’s been no movement. Shares are still down 10%.

AeroVironment's CEO Directly Address Missing Q3 Expectations

AeroVironment CEO Wahid Nawabis tarted off today’s call by directly addressing their poor results relative to expectations in Q3.

Here’s what he had to say:

“This past quarter’s results came in below expectations, primarily driven by revenue timing and adjustments made in our space business. Given industry-wide delays in government funding, along with the shutdown, several orders we anticipated to receive in the third quarter have shifted to the right by a quarter or 2.

Recognizing we fell short on expectations this quarter, we are now more than ever focused on leveraging our unique operational and execution capabilities and driving long-term value creation. We have a track record of delivering strong results and our core strengths in product innovation, deep customer relationships and manufacturing scalability will enable us to capture increased demand in this high-growth market.

Strong order flow increased our funded backlog in the third quarter, which is positioning us for record fourth-quarter revenue and a solid start to our fiscal year 2027. “

AeroVironment Conference Call Starting Now

AeroVironment’s conference call is starting now. We’ll provide updates from their call.

As we noted earlier, management has a lot to answer for tonight. Their comments could cause either a steeper drop or shares to recover much of today’s losses. 

To keep receiving updates, simply stay on this page, and new updates will post automatically. 

Conference Call Starts Soon

If you’re an AeroVironment investors, tonight’s 9% drop follows another earnings miss. The company has now missed four out of its last five earnings. That’s a troubling trend.

Yet, the company’s conference call starts in 5 minutes, so we’ll see if anythign management says could calm fears that have sent shares down after hours.

For example, could AeroVironment provide commentary looking ahead to Fiscal 2027 that points to significant improvement?

Guidance

It’s worth noting that Wall Street expected $3.31 in adjusted EPS this year and AeroVironment’s guidance now calls for $2.75 to $3.10.

That poor guidance is another weight on the stock. Revenue guidance is also below Wall Street expectations of $1.963 for the year.

AeroVironment Shares Drop 7% After Earnings

The headline figures for AVAV are:

  • Revenue: $408 million
  • Adjusted EPS of $.64

That’s a miss on both revenue and earnings.

Guidance calls for $1.9 billion with adjusted EPS of $2.75 to $3.10.

Earnings in 8 Mintues

AVAV’s earnings are expected at 4:10 p.m. ET.

If you stay on this page live updates will post automatically. We will begin providing news and analysis the moment earnings are released.

AeroVironment Shares Down 1.7% Today

AeroVironment shares are down 1.7% headed into earnings today. That’s notable since other drone plays are up today. For example, Ondas (ONDS) is up 5.2% in late trading.

Many ‘momenum’ stocks have been outperforming in today’s trading as oil prices continue falling after briefly hitting $120 per barrel on Sunday night.

AeroVironment reports Q3 FY2026 earnings tonight after the bell, with the call scheduled for 4:30 PM ET. The defense drone maker sits at $223.83, down 6% year-to-date and well off its 52-week highs. Wall Street has been torn on Aerovironment recently with an upgrade from Raymond James causing a large sell-off. Let’s look at what’s at stake tonight.

What Wall Street Expects

Analysts are looking for earnings of $0.69 per share on revenue of $475.65 million for the quarter. That would represent roughly 185% year-over-year revenue growth, almost entirely driven by BlueHalo’s contribution layered on top of organic growth in the legacy drone business.

Worth noting: AVAV has missed EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with misses ranging from 6% to 58% below consensus. Analyst models have struggled to capture the integration noise, so the headline EPS number may matter less than what management says about the trajectory.

Last Quarter Recap

Last quarter was a tale of two stories. AVAV missed EPS badly, reporting adjusted EPS of $0.44 versus the $0.7375 consensus and GAAP EPS of -$.34, but the culprit was largely $48.2 million in non-cash purchase accounting charges from the BlueHalo deal. Revenue told a different story: $472.5 million, up 181.9% year-over-year.

The demand picture was genuinely impressive. Contract awards hit a record $3.5 billion ceiling value with a 2.9x book-to-bill ratio. Management raised the lower end of FY2026 revenue guidance to $1.95 billion to $2.0 billion. CEO Wahid Nawabi struck a confident tone: “AV is operating from a position of strength as evidenced by our record second quarter results, all-time high bookings and long-term contract wins.”

For more detail on that report, see our full breakdown at 247wallst.com.

Areas to Watch Tonight

  • Gross margin trajectory: Gross margin compressed to 22% last quarter from 39% a year prior. Any sign of stabilization or recovery here would be a meaningful positive signal.
  • SCAR contract risk: Raymond James downgraded AVAV to Underperform on March 2, citing recompetition for the Space Force SCAR program, a significant contract held by BlueHalo. Management commentary on this will be closely watched.
  • FY2026 guidance: Management guided for roughly 45% of second-half revenue in Q3 and 70% of second-half EBITDA landing in Q4. Any shift in that split or changes to full-year guidance would move the stock.
  • Recent contract wins as context: A $186 million Switchblade order on February 26 and a $97.4 million Army contract on March 6 both hit before this report, suggesting demand remains healthy heading into the print.
  • CFO transition: CFO Kevin McDonnell announced his retirement effective July 31, 2026, adding a layer of uncertainty during a critical integration period. Expect analysts to probe succession plans on the call.

Seventeen analysts currently carry buy ratings on AVAV with an average price target of $355.17, implying roughly 59% upside from current levels. Watch for commentary on the company’s SCAR contract to dominate discussion in the analyst community tomorrow.

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About the Author Eric Bleeker, CFA →

Eric Bleeker has been investing for more than 20 years. He began his career working at Microsoft before joining Motley Fool, one of the largest publishers of financial research. In his 15 years at Motley Fool Eric served as the General Manager for Fool.com and led coverage in the Technology & Telecom sector. In addition, he was a featured columnist and has hosted dozens of investing seminars attended by more than a million total investors. Eric has more than 1,000 financial bylines to his name and has been featured in The Wall Street Journal, CNBC, Fox Business, and many other leading publications. He is currently focused on artificial intelligence investing and is a CFA Charterholoder.

Live: Will AeroVironment (AVAV) Beat Q3 Earnings Tonight?

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