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Oil is back to $93.62 amid escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.
Worse, there are now calls for $200 oil, worst case, which would wreak havoc on markets and your wallet. It’s why the S&P 500 is down 0.8%, or by 54 points this morning. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is down 0.75%, or by $5.82. The Dow is down 1%, or by 474 points. The Nasdaq is down 0.77%, or by 192 points. Gold is up fractionally at $5,172. Bitcoin is down to $70,109.
$200 Oil?
According to Energy Secretary Chris Wright, the U.S. Navy is not ready to begin escorting oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz.
“It’ll happen relatively soon, but it can’t happen now,” Wright said, as quoted by CNBC. “We’re simply not ready. All of our military assets right now are focused on destroying Iran’s offensive capabilities and the manufacturing industry that supplies their offensive capabilities.” Wright added that aid is likely by the end of this month.
Not helping, three more foreign ships were hit last night – and until that’s brought under control, the idea of $200 oil is real. “Get ready for oil to be $200 a barrel, because the oil price depends on regional security, which you have destabilised,” Ebrahim Zolfaqari, spokesperson for Iran’s military command, said, as quoted by Reuters.
In addition, Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, said all U.S. military bases in the Middle East should close immediately because those bases will be attacked. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz should be continued as a “tool to pressure the enemy,” he added.
All of which is pressuring markets badly.
Go Long Energy Stocks, Short Market
According to JPMorgan, until the Strait of Hormuz is safe again, it’s best to go long energy stocks, such as the US Oil Fund (USO) and the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG).
Or, if you want broader exposure to more energy names, here are three other ETFs.
SPDR Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE)
With an expense ratio of 0.09%, the XLE ETF provides exposure to companies in the oil, gas, and consumable fuels, energy equipment and services industries, according to State Street SPDR. Since the start of the year, the XLE ETF has traded from about $45 to a high of $57.88.
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)
With an expense ratio of 0.35%, the ETF provides exposure 51 oil and gas exploration and production segment of the S&P TMI, which comprises the following sub-industries: Integrated Oil & Gas, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing, as noted by State Street SPDR. Since the start of the year, the XOP ETF has traded between about $125 and $165.
iShares Global Energy ETF (IXC)
With an expense ratio of 0.40%, the iShares Global Energy ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of global energy equities. Some of its 50 holdings include Exxon Mobil, Chevron Corporation, BP PLC, Total SA, and EOG Resources. Since the start of the year, the IXC ETF has traded between about $42 and $53.46.
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