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Investors are watching SoundHound AI (NASDAQ: SOUN) ahead of first-quarter results expected today, May 7, at about 4:05 PM EST. After a hot run into the earnings report, the results need to validate the enterprise AI deal flow story.
Hot Stock with Big Expectations
Shares are up 13.4% over the past week and 34.81% over the past month, closing at $9.14 on May 5. That run reverses an ugly stretch after Q4. The stock fell 20.12% in the 30 days following the February 26 release, even though SoundHound beat on both lines.
Q4 2025 set a high bar. Revenue hit $55.06 million, up 59.39% year over year, and EPS of -$0.02 beat the -$0.0983 estimate by 79.65%. Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 60.5% from 52.1%. CEO Keyvan Mohajer said, “Our results speak for themselves. All key profit metrics were up, and in the last quarter, we closed a record number of customer deals.” Management guided full-year 2026 revenue to $225 million to $260 million.
Consensus Setup
| Metric |
Prior Year Comparable |
FY2026 Guide |
| Q1 Revenue |
$29.13M (Q1 25) |
n/a |
| Q1 EPS |
-$0.06 (Q1 25) |
n/a |
| Full Year Revenue |
$168.92M (FY25) |
$225M to $260M |
Deal Flow, Margins, and Cash Burn
I will be watching three things. First, deal with momentum. Q4 closed wins with a Korean OEM, an Italian sports car brand, BNP Paribas, Panda Express, IHOP, and Jersey Mike’s.
Second, margins. The non-GAAP gross margin trajectory is the cleanest tell on whether scale is finally translating to leverage. The contrast with GAAP gross margin sliding to 42.4% from 48.9% in FY24 is the bear case in one line.
Third, cash. SoundHound burned about $98.2 million in operating cash flow last year and carries $248.49 million in cash. Investors will look at whether the burn is narrowing alongside the EBITDA loss, which improved to -$7.43 million from -$16.79 million.
Sentiment heading in is mixed but tilting positive. Polymarket traders price a 59% probability of a beat, and the sell side shows six buys, two holds, and a $14.62 price target. SoundHound has logged six consecutive beats, so a clean beat is the base case, not the upside.
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