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Expectations Are High for SoundHound’s Q1 Earnings

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By Thomas Richmond Published

This Report Has to Earn the Rerating

The stock has already priced in good news this month. For the rally to hold, management will likely need to reaffirm or raise the $225 million to $260 million revenue range and show that the path to lower cash burn is real.

Anything softer, and the stock could see a sell-off like the one that followed Q4 results.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

All Updates from Live Coverage

| Thomas Richmond
Live

That wraps up our initial coverage of SoundHound’s Q1 results. Thank you for stopping by!

Check out management’s earnings call at 5 PM EST for more updates.

| Thomas Richmond
Live

$SOUN is down roughly 13% after earnings despite posting another strong growth quarter.

Revenue rose 52% YoY to $44.2 million and topped expectations, but EPS missed estimates, and management only reaffirmed full-year guidance rather than raising it.

That likely disappointed investors who had started pricing in accelerating AI demand and stronger forward momentum. In the current market, high-growth AI software names are increasingly being judged on profitability trends and upside guidance, not just revenue growth alone.

| Thomas Richmond
Live

SoundHound CEO Keyvan Mohajer: “SoundHound started the year strong with our top line growing 52%. Excluding the impact of all acquisitions, revenue was up 88% in our core automotive and IoT AI vertical, highlighting incredible demand across all pillars of our business.”

SoundHound’s underlying AI voice platform is growing significantly faster than overall revenue, driven by continued momentum in automotive and IoT deployments.

| Thomas Richmond
Live

SoundHound just reported earnings. Here are the key numbers:

  • Revenue: $44.2M vs. $42.6M expected
  • Adjusted EPS: -$0.11 vs. -$0.10 expected

Quick read:

Revenue rose 52% year over year and beat expectations, showing continued demand for the company’s voice AI platform.

Margins and profitability remain under pressure, with EPS missing estimates and revenue falling 20% sequentially from last quarter.

Shares are initially down 4% following the report.

| Thomas Richmond
Live

With shares of SoundHound (NASDAQ:SOUN) at $9.54 and up 21.53% on the week, the bull/bear debate is sharp.

Bull Case

  • Q4 revenue rose 59.4% YoY to $55.06M, with non-GAAP gross margin expanding to 60.5%.
  • FY26 guidance of $225M-$260M implies 33-54% growth.
  • Analysts’ average price target is $14.62, with 6 Buy ratings, $268M in cash, and zero debt.

Bear Case

  • FY25 operating cash flow was -$98.2M with $80.6M stock-based comp.
  • C-suite sold 206,530 shares on March 20 at $6.7903, no buys.
  • Q4’s 79.65% beat still produced a -20.12% 30-day move.
  • Forward P/E of 227 leaves no margin for error.
| Thomas Richmond
Live

Wall Street is laser-focused on whether SoundHound (NASDAQ:SOUN) lifts its $225 million to $260 million FY2026 revenue range. Management has a clear beat-and-raise rhythm with the company raising FY2025 guidance in Q2 and again in Q3, finishing at $168.92M, nearly 99.45% growth.

Bullish signals: Guidance above $260M, signals of adjusted EBITDA breakeven by year-end, sustaining non-GAAP gross margin above 60%, and announcing a tier-1 OEM win.

Bearish signals: A simple guidance reaffirmation, slipping margins, or commentary on elongated enterprise sales cycles. Investors also want clarity on the -$98.2M operating cash burn against the $248.49M cash pile.

With Polymarket pricing a 58.5% probability of a beat and the stock up 39.85% in a month, only reaffirming guidance could risk deflating the stock’s recent rally.

| Thomas Richmond
Live

With SoundHound AI (NASDAQ:SOUN) shares up 39.85% over the past month and Polymarket pricing a 58.5% probability of an earnings beat, here is what to track on tonight’s 5:00 PM ET call.

Top 5 Analyst Questions

  • Are you reaffirming or raising the $225M-$260M FY26 revenue range?
  • Timeline to positive adjusted EBITDA given the $7.43M Q4 loss?
  • Pipeline conversion for the 15+ Agentic+ enterprise customers?
  • Cash burn trajectory after -$98.2M FY25 operating cash flow?
  • Automotive ramp with the Korean and Japanese OEM wins?

Red Flags

  • Guidance reaffirmed without a raise
  • Gross margin compression below 60.5%
  • Rising stock-based comp above $80.6M
  • Vague commentary on Interactions integration or contingent liability swings
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Photo of Thomas Richmond
About the Author Thomas Richmond →

Thomas Richmond is a financial writer and content strategist with 5+ years of experience covering stocks and financial markets. He has published over 250 articles focused on individual stock analysis, helping investors better understand business fundamentals, stock valuations, and long-term opportunities.

Thomas previously served as a Content Lead at TIKR, a stock research platform, where he helped scale the company’s blog to hundreds of articles per month and contributed to a weekly newsletter reaching more than 100,000 investors.

He specializes in breaking down complex companies into clear, actionable insights for everyday investors, with a focus on fundamentals-driven research.

His work has also been featured on platforms including Seeking Alpha and Sure Dividend.

Outside of work, Thomas enjoys weight lifting and soccer.

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