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Investors are watching Figma (NYSE:FIG) ahead of first-quarter results due after the close today, Thursday, May 14, at 4:05 PM EST. The bar is unusually high tonight with the stock up 6% today.
Proving the Story After a Brutal Drawdown
Figma stock is down 83.6% over the past year and has fallen 49.32% year to date, even as the underlying business continues to grow.
Q4 2025 revenue rose 40% year over year, and full-year 2025 revenue cleared $1.056 billion with gross margins of 84.76%. The pain came elsewhere, with a $1.1 billion FY2025 net loss, largely tied to IPO stock-based compensation, the January 27 release of 59 million Class B shares, and a class-action investigation into post-IPO disclosures. Director Reed Phillips pushed back with a $36.5 million open-market buy in February.
Where Wall Street Sits Ahead of Figma’s Earnings
| Metric |
Value |
| Current price |
$20.06 |
| Analyst consensus target |
$40.25 |
| Implied upside |
100.7% |
| Ratings (Buy / Hold / Sell) |
3 / 8 / 0 |
| FY2025 revenue |
$1.056B |
| TTM diluted EPS |
-$3.71 |
| Forward P/E |
86 |
AI Margins and the Enterprise Story
I will be watching three things tonight. First, AI economics. Management has flagged higher AI and infrastructure spending that will compress near-term operating margins. With operating margin already at -64.4% on a TTM basis, investors will look to see whether incremental AI revenue is scaling faster than inference costs.
Second, competitive posture. Google’s Nano Banana 2 Gemini upgrade sharpened concerns about pricing power in design tooling. Analysts will listen for commentary on seat growth, multi-product attach, and enterprise renewals, the areas where Figma’s collaboration moat is hardest to dislodge.
Third, guidance and tone. It would be nice to see a clear Q2 revenue range and a full-year framework that shows the expected AI margin drag and expected growth. Overseas revenue was called out as a key contributor to Q4 growth, and CFO Praveer Melwani’s commentary on enterprise expansion will also be important for the stock.
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