Live coverage has ended. The full story is below.
DoorDash (Nasdaq: DASH | DASH Price Prediction), Figma (NYSE: FIG) and eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY) all report calendar Q4 2025 earnings tonight after the close. The companies represent starkly different corners of the internet economy: one powering local delivery at scale, another reinventing a 30-year-old marketplace with AI, and a third a recent SaaS IPO.
Yet, each stock has been under the same pressure recently. Fears around AI disruption have sent each of these company’s stock south. We’ll be watching each company’s earnings report tonight to see if they can bounce back from the recent sell-off.
DoorDash: Can Order Growth Offset Margin Questions?
DoorDash enters tonight’s report with shares down 23% year-to-date after a volatile start to 2026. The company guided for fourth quarter Marketplace GOV between $28.9 billion and $29.5 billion, with Adjusted EBITDA of $710 million to $810 million.
Last quarter delivered a mixed message. Revenue of $3.45 billion beat the $3.36 billion consensus and adjusted EPS of $1.28 beat expectations. Yet, GAAP EPS fell short of consensus. Total orders hit 776 million, up 21% year-over-year, while Marketplace GOV climbed 25% to $25 billion.
I’ll be watching whether DoorDash can show that its Deliveroo integration is paying off without dragging margins. The company said Deliveroo would contribute roughly $45 million to fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA. You should also look at whether international expansion is accelerating or becoming a margin drag.
Prediction markets show skepticism. Polymarket traders are pricing in just a 23% probability that DoorDash beats consensus EPS estimates tonight. That’s notably lower than the conviction heading into last quarter’s report, which saw higher trading volume and ultimately resolved as a beat.
eBay: AI Transformation Meets Margin Compression
eBay’s stock is down 5% year-to-date but up 20% over the past year. The company guided for fourth quarter revenue between $2.83 billion and $2.89 billion, with non-GAAP EPS of $1.31 to $1.36.
Third quarter results beat on both lines. Revenue of $2.82 billion topped the $2.73 billion estimate, while non-GAAP EPS of $1.36 beat $1.33. GMV climbed 10% to $20.1 billion. But here’s the problem: operating income fell 3% year-over-year to $576 million despite revenue growth.
CEO Jamie Iannone framed the quarter around AI transformation. “We’re transforming the eBay experience through AI built on 30 years of unique insights, while enhancing trusted programs in shipping, live commerce and circular fashion,” he said on the call. The company integrated with Apple’s Visual Intelligence and expanded its Authenticity Guarantee program into the U.K.
I’ll be watching whether eBay can show that AI-powered listing tools are driving GMV reacceleration and improving take rates. The company has beaten EPS estimates for six consecutive quarters, but margin compression remains a concern. Management returned $757 million to shareholders last quarter through buybacks and dividends, which shows confidence but doesn’t solve the operating leverage question.
Figma: Mixed Signals Last Quarter
Figma (NYSE: FIG) reports fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings tonight after the close. The collaborative design software platform went public via IPO and has since attracted bullish attention from analysts who see it as a rare AI-ready software winner. Wells Fargo favors Figma as an AI software play for 2026, and RBC predicts growth for AI-ready software firms like Figma as enterprise spending stabilizes. After a brutal year that saw shares fall 79% over the past 12 months, tonight’s report could reset the narrative or confirm investor fears about valuation and execution.
Consensus estimates for the quarter are revenues of $293 million and adjusted EPS of $.06.
In Q3 fiscal 2025, analysts estimated EPS of $0.05 and revenue of roughly $263.4 million. Management guided Q4 revenue to $292 to $294 million, representing 35% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Full-year fiscal 2025 revenue guidance was raised to $1.044 to $1.046 billion, up 40% year-over-year. Investors will be watching whether Figma can sustain that momentum while managing the profitability pressures that plagued fiscal 2024.
Key metrics beyond the income statement matter more for this stock. Net dollar retention for customers spending over $10,000 in annual recurring revenue hit 131% in Q3, up 2 points quarter-over-quarter. The company crossed $1 billion in annual revenue run rate last quarter and added over 1,000 customers spending $10,000 or more in ARR during Q3 alone.
Expect analysts to focus on whether those expansion metrics held up through year-end.
What’s at Stake Tonight
All three companies face the same test: proving they can be winners in a market selling off any perceived weakness.
DoorDash needs to show that its expansion into grocery, retail, and international markets isn’t just burning cash. eBay needs to prove that its AI reinvention can drive margin expansion, not just revenue growth. The market will be listening closely to guidance and management tone on both calls.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.