Intuitive Machines Rallies 9%, Rocket Lab and Planet Labs Decline in Space Stock Divergence

Photo of David Moadel
By David Moadel Published
Intuitive Machines Rallies 9%, Rocket Lab and Planet Labs Decline in Space Stock Divergence

© 24/7 Wall St.

Shares of Intuitive Machines (NASDAQ:LUNR) are up 9% in mid-morning trading Thursday, while Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB | RKLB Price Prediction) stock is down 3% and Planet Labs (NYSE:PL) stock is lower by 2%. LUNR stock changed hands near $44, RKLB stock around $146, and PL stock near $49.

No company issued material news this morning, which makes the split between the three names the real story. After the SpaceX initial public offering halo lifted the entire space complex, money looks to be rotating within space stocks rather than leaving the sector.

With huge moves already booked across LUNR, RKLB, and PL, today’s price action reads more like positioning than a fundamental shift. The directional split deserves your attention, so let’s figure out what’s going on with space infrastructure stocks today.

Rotation Inside the Space Sector

Intuitive Machines is the most differentiated business of the three. The company is focused on lunar exploration and space services, anchored by NASA Commercial Lunar Payload Services task orders and a U.S. Space Force contract pipeline. That niche doesn’t overlap heavily with SpaceX’s Falcon 9 economics.

Rocket Lab and Planet Labs sit on different sides of the same niche market segment. Rocket Lab builds and launches small and medium-lift rockets, making RKLB the most direct public-market analog to SpaceX’s commercial launch business. Planet Labs runs an Earth observation constellation that sells imagery and analytics, a business with strong recent momentum but also the steepest one-year stock gain in the group.

However, the rotation narrative cuts both ways. SpaceX explicitly identifies Rocket Lab as a competitor in small-lift and expanding medium-lift launch, which sharpens comp math as the world’s largest launch provider readies its own public listing. On the other hand, lunar economy exposure has thinner overlap with SpaceX, which is why LUNR stock is catching a bid this morning.

Planet Labs occupies its own lane. The business is more data subscription than launch cadence, but the stock has carried the heaviest year-to-date (YTD) beta in the group, making it a logical place for traders to ring the register first.

Pullbacks Come Off Extreme Recent Highs

The declines today need context. LUNR stock is up 166% YTD, RKLB stock is up 106% YTD, and PL stock has gained 146% YTD. Profit-taking at those levels doesn’t signal a thesis change.

Reddit chatter supports the rotation framing rather than a sector breakdown. LUNR registered a sentiment score of 85 to 86 on WallStreetBets in the past 24 hours, categorized as Very Bullish. RKLB sentiment ran between 70 and 83 across May 27 and 28, and Planet Labs posted scored of 75 to 80 on May 27.

Retail investors appear to be treating the RKLB and PL pullbacks as digestion rather than damage. That’s consistent with the depth of the year-to-date moves and the breadth of bullish positioning built up into them.

What to Watch

The prediction markets paint a more cautious near-term picture for Rocket Lab. Polymarket pegged the probability of RKLB stock closing lower on May 28 at 79%, with $156 being the most likely month-end target at 31% odds. Traders are reading today’s weakness as ongoing positioning rather than a one-day blip.

Investors will want to watch for whether LUNR stock holds its gains into the close, and whether RKLB and PL stabilize after the morning slide. The larger question is how the eventual SpaceX listing reshapes how public-market money prices launch exposure versus lunar and Earth observation.

Cautious position sizing makes sense for LUNR, RKLB, or PL stock after runs this size. Prudent investors may prefer to scale into pullbacks rather than chase strength, given how stretched the year-to-date gains look across the space infrastructure complex.

Photo of David Moadel
About the Author David Moadel →

David Moadel is financial writer specializing in stocks, ETFs, options, precious metals, and Bitcoin. David has written well over 1,000 articles for leading online publications, helping investors understand markets, income strategies, and risk.

His work has appeared in The Motley Fool, InvestorPlace, U.S. News & World Report, TipRanks, ValueWalk, Benzinga, Market Realist, TalkMarkets, Finmasters, 24/7 Wall St., and others.

With a master’s degree in education, David has taught at the elementary, high school, and college levels. That teaching background shapes his writing style: clear, educational, and practical. David has also built a loyal social-media audience by providing trustworthy financial content on YouTube, X/Twitter, and StockTwits.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

KMX Vol: 7,330,419
GLW Vol: 22,800,969
INTC Vol: 233,719,006
SMCI Vol: 68,465,534
ENPH Vol: 13,978,376

Top Losing Stocks

ACN Vol: 41,744,333
EPAM Vol: 5,636,587
CTSH Vol: 61,311,400
CTRA Vol: 73,319,495
KR Vol: 26,704,230