3 Energy ETFs Surging Past 50% as Hormuz Crisis Reshapes Oil Markets in 2026

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By David Beren Published

Quick Read

  • Military action closed Hormuz and cut 10.5 million barrels per day, briefly driving OIH and XLE past 50% year-to-date before a June pullback.

  • OIH's 64% one-year return masks a negative 3% average annual return since 2001 inception, making it a tactical trade, not a buy-and-hold.

  • XLE's 41% ExxonMobil-Chevron concentration, 2.7% yield, and rock-bottom 0.09% expense ratio make it the default anchor for energy exposure with lower drawdown risk.

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3 Energy ETFs Surging Past 50% as Hormuz Crisis Reshapes Oil Markets in 2026

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West Texas Intermediate crude opened 2026 near $57 a barrel and spiked to almost $115 on April 7 after the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed to tanker traffic. Brent followed a parallel path, climbing from about $67 in January to a $138 intraday high in April. That move briefly carried VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSEARCA:OIH), The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLE), and iShares U.S. Energy ETF (NYSEARCA:IYE) past the 50% mark on a year-to-date basis before a June correction trimmed the gains.

Each of these funds plays the exact same Hormuz-driven thesis, but they carry radically different risk profiles. Oilfield services are the play for those seeking high leverage via OIH, while XLE provides a disciplined anchor via the integrated supermajors. A wider net across the entire U.S. energy value chain is what you get with IYE. With WTI currently hovering near $70 and Brent holding steady around $75, the real game is deciding which of these structures actually fits your personal risk tolerance.

The supply shock behind the rally

The EIA’s May 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook describes the strait as effectively closed to shipping traffic since military action began on February 28. The agency estimates Gulf producers shut in roughly 10.5 million barrels per day in April, with Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait absorbing the largest cuts. The UAE separately exited OPEC, effective May 1, 2026, reducing the cartel’s forecast spare capacity for 2027 to 2.5 million barrels per day.

That backdrop matters because it shifts producer behavior. Sustained prices above $100 push supermajors to lean into capex, the mechanism that links the rally specifically to oil services rather than energy stocks broadly.

OIH: the highest-beta route

This fund tracks a lean portfolio of 25 companies, primarily providing the heavy-duty machinery, pressure pumping, and subsea engineering essential to oil production. With names like Schlumberger, Halliburton, and Baker Hughes anchoring the top weights, it is effectively a pure-play on the drilling lifecycle. Because exploration budgets swell rapidly when crude prices remain elevated, these firms benefit from massive operating leverage with each additional rig put into service. That second-derivative exposure is the engine behind its volatility; it consistently outpaces broader energy funds when the cycle turns up, only to take a steeper dive when the tide turns.

The fund manages $2.37 billion in assets, charges an expense ratio of 0.35%, and yields 1.3%. Year-to-date performance sits at 31%, with a one-year return of 64%. Those numbers obscure how violent the round trip has been. OIH is down 11% in the past month as crude has retraced from the April peak.

The longer-run record argues for treating OIH as a tactical position. Since its inception in February 2001, the fund’s average annual return has been negative 3%, and the trailing 10-year annualized return has been negative 2%. The current rally reflects the oil cycle rather than structural compounding. Investors choosing OIH are making a directional call on services capex, treating it as a tactical rather than buy-and-hold vehicle.

XLE: the mega-cap anchor

As the titan of U.S. energy ETFs, this fund manages roughly $39 billion in assets while keeping costs minimal at a 0.09% expense ratio. Its identity is forged in extreme concentration, with ExxonMobil and Chevron alone commanding 41% of the portfolio and ConocoPhillips adding another 7% to the top tier. The rest of the leaderboard is a definitive mix of the energy value chain: midstream giants like Williams and Kinder Morgan, downstream refiners such as Phillips 66, Valero, and Marathon, and industry-standard services, such as SLB.

The exposure profile is diversified across the energy value chain but anchored by two integrated supermajors that generate cash flow at almost any price above the mid-$50s and return capital through buybacks and dividends. XLE yields roughly 2.7% and has gained 21% year-to-date, with a one-year return of 30%. Drawdowns are shallower than OIH’s because integrated economics smooth out oil-price swings, but the cap on upside is the same coin flipped over.

For investors who want energy beta with a yield component and don’t want to underwrite the services cycle, XLE is the default. The expense ratio is the lowest in the category, and the underlying basket is the most heavily traded.

IYE: the broader basket

This fund tracks the Russell 1000 Energy index across 44 distinct stocks, offering broader exposure than the more restrictive S&P 500-based alternatives. While ExxonMobil and Chevron still anchor the portfolio with a 37% combined weight, the real action happens further down the ticker list. It dives into mid-cap producers like Antero, Permian, and Matador, while also sprinkling in small positions in renewables, such as Enphase and First Solar. By leaning into this extended tail, the fund captures unique exposure to smaller E&P players and a clean-energy slice that you simply won’t find in a concentrated mega-cap play.

The fund holds $1.6 billion in assets, charges 0.38%, and yields 2.4%. Year-to-date return is 21%, essentially tied with XLE. The price tag is higher than XLE’s, and lower trading volume can lead to wider bid-ask spreads. The case for IYE rests on its slightly more diversified construction and the marginal small-cap producer exposure, which can outperform in periods when capital migrates beyond the supermajors.

Matching fund to investor

Three risk profiles map cleanly to the three funds. An investor willing to ride services-cycle volatility for the leverage to higher capex will favor OIH and should expect drawdowns to match the upside. A core energy position with yield and lower drawdown risk points to XLE, where ExxonMobil and Chevron’s free cash flow defends the floor. IYE sits in between as a broader, more integrated alternative for those who want less single-name concentration in the top two holdings.

One framing is a tilted allocation: a heavier OIH weighting for those prioritizing capex leverage, or a heavier XLE weighting for those prioritizing yield and lower drawdown. With the Hormuz situation still unresolved and EIA projecting Brent near $89 in the fourth quarter, the upside scenarios remain on the table. The downside scenario reopens if the strait clears faster than expected.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Photo of David Beren
About the Author David Beren →

David Beren has been a Flywheel Publishing contributor since 2022. Writing for 24/7 Wall St. since 2023, David loves to write about topics of all shapes and sizes. As a technology expert, David focuses heavily on consumer electronics brands, automobiles, and general technology. He has previously written for LifeWire, formerly About.com. As a part-time freelance writer, David’s “day job” has been working on and leading social media for multiple Fortune 100 brands. David loves the flexibility of this field and its ability to reach customers exactly where they like to spend their time. Additionally, David previously published his own blog, TmoNews.com, which reached 3 million readers in its first year. In addition to freelance and social media work, David loves to spend time with his family and children and relive the glory days of video game consoles by playing any retro game console he can get his hands on.

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