In the second quarter of this year, smartphone sales dropped more than at any time in the last thirteen years. Prominent research from Counterpoint uses the term “shipments.” In a new report, its researchers wrote, “Global smartphone shipments tumbled 11% YoY in Q2 2026, reaching the lowest second-quarter levels since 2013.” Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL | AAPL Price Prediction) also lost the market share crown to arch-rival Samsung. This happens just as Apple is about to launch its new AI product.
For investors, the extent to which earnings are based on the iPhone makes this very bad news. A shortage of memory storage hurt the supply of crucial technology. Additionally, DRAM and NAND prices have risen sharply due to AI demand. AI is supposed to save Apple. At the same time, it has increased the cost of building the iPhone. In fact, some of these shortages led Apple to raise the prices of Macs and iPads recently. At the time, Apple management said, “The rapid expansion of AI data centers has created an extraordinary surge in demand for memory and storage.”
Samsung surged to the lead in global market share. Its shipments were 24% of all global shipments in the second quarter. This was up from 20% in the same quarter a year ago. Apple’s share rose from 17% to 29% over the same period.
Its new Galaxy S26 series largely drove Samsung’s success. It is a high-end product given its price, making it an iPhone competitor. Counterpoint said that its AI functions help drive sales.
Apple is at one of the most important inflection points in its recent history. After falling behind in AI features late last year, it is about to release versions of Siri and Apple Intelligence powered by Google’s Gemini. Many industry observers think Apple got away with a low price for this. It will pay $1 billion a year. Of course, Google gets massive distribution in a market with brutal competition from products like OpenAI’s and Microsoft’s (NASDAQ: MSFT) Co-Pilot.
How much is at stake for the iPhone as it tries to claim a position in AI-powered products? Almost everything. In the most recent quarter, Apple had revenue of $143.8 billion, of which $85.3 billion was from the iPhone.
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