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Live: Will Zeta Global Deliver Its 20th Consecutive Beat-and-Raise Quarter Tonight?

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By Thomas Richmond Updated Published

Quick Read

  • ZETA enters Q2 2026 earnings on a 19-quarter beat-and-raise streak, having guided for revenue in the range of $419M to $422M, representing 37% growth year over year.

  • Athena AI captured 60% of platform AI usage in its first week, driving a 7x surge in agentic interactions and a 40% pipeline lift.

  • With shares up 50% over one year and 12 analyst buy ratings, consensus targets $28.68, implying 22% upside from current levels.

  • The most widely read finance newsletter on Substack isn't published by a bank, it's Doomberg, where 383,000+ readers get the energy and macro analysis the mainstream press misses. 24/7 Wall St. readers save 17% on their first year here.

Live Updates

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This live blog is being updated by Thomas Richmond, a 24/7 Wall St. contributor. You’ll get expert analysis of Zeta’s earnings.

Simply stay on this page, and new updates will appear below automatically. We expect Zeta Global to release earnings shortly after 4:05 p.m. ET.

Zeta Global Q2 Earnings Coverage Wrap-Up

That wraps up our initial coverage of Zeta’s Q2 results. Thank you for stopping by!

Zeta Delivers Its 20th Consecutive “Beat and Raise” Quarter

Zeta Global extended its remarkable execution streak in Q2, delivering its 20th consecutive “beat and raise” quarter while achieving positive GAAP profitability.

Revenue climbed 44% year over year to $443 million, topping the $420.6 million consensus estimate. Adjusted EBITDA reached $92 million, representing a 20.7% margin, while free cash flow jumped 73% to $58 million. Zeta also generated $8 million in GAAP net income and reported EPS of $0.03.

The company’s core customer metrics remained strong. Super-Scaled Customers increased 17% to 197, while average revenue per user rose another 17% to $1.8 million. Operating cash flow climbed 65% to $69 million.

Management expects Q3 revenue of $469 million to $472 million, ahead of the $461 million consensus estimate. Zeta also raised its full-year revenue outlook to $1.811 billion to $1.824 billion, along with higher adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, and GAAP EPS forecasts.

Management credited accelerating AI adoption and partnerships with OpenAI, Snowflake, and Palantir for the strong performance. With revenue growth accelerating, cash generation expanding, and GAAP profitability turning positive, Zeta’s 20-quarter streak remains firmly intact.

Zeta Q2 Earnings Are Out - Stock Plummets 75% on Results

Zeta Global just reported earnings, with shares initially falling 7% following the report after climbing 7.5% during regular trading. Here are the key numbers:

  • Revenue: $442.8 million vs. $420.6 million expected
  • Adjusted EPS: Not yet available vs. $0.19 expected

Quick Read:

Zeta delivered a strong top-line beat, with revenue exceeding expectations by approximately 5%.

Revenue surged 44% year over year and 12% sequentially, extending the company’s powerful growth momentum.

Zeta's Up 8% Today - Key Numbers to Watch in Tonight's Q2 Earnings

Pre-Earnings Snapshot

Consensus sits near the upper end of the company’s guidance of $419M-$422M in revenue, with adjusted EBITDA guided to $86.2M-$86.9M.

Earnings results above $422M would extend the beat-and-raise streak to 20 consecutive quarters.

KPIs to Watch

  • Super-Scaled Customer count exceeding 189 and ARPU above $1.70M
  • Any FY 2026 revenue raise above the $1,785M midpoint
  • GAAP net income tracking toward the guided full-year positive figure

Positioning

Shares trade at $23.63, up 8.78% in the past week. The August 7 options chain shows 6x more call volume than put volume, though 19 recent insider transactions have net sold, a caution flag against consensus positioning.

Zeta's FY26 Guidance Tonight Will Likely Determine the Market's Reaction

Zeta (NYSE:ZETA)’s Q2 earnigns results will matter less than what management forecasts for the back half of the year.

Wall Street has priced in a beat, with consensus sitting at $419M-$422M revenue.

CEO David A. Steinberg has beaten and raised for 19 straight quarters, with recent full-year raises of $30M, $25M, $11M, and $21M.

Bullish scenario: FY26 revenue midpoint raised above $1.80B, adj EBITDA margin trending toward 22%+, FCF lifted from $234.5M-$235.5M, positive GAAP net income reaffirmed, and 2028 targets pushed above $2.3B.

Bearish scenario: A guidance reiteration without a raise (breaking the streak), a soft Q3 guide, or slowing Super-Scaled Customer growth from the current 189 customers pace.

Analysts will also be looking at commentary on Athena adoption and the ARPU trajectory.

Analysts Top 5 Questions Ahead of Zeta's Q2 Earnings Tonight

Ahead of tonight’s report from Zeta Global (NYSE:ZETA), here’s what to listen for on the call:

Top 5 Analyst Questions:

  1. Is Athena monetization showing up in Q2 ARPU or bookings yet?
  2. How much of the guide raise is Marigold vs. organic?
  3. Update on the securities fraud lawsuit moving to discovery?
  4. Path to GAAP net income positive for FY2026?
  5. Super-Scaled Customer additions beyond 189?

Key Topics, Buzzwords, and Red Flags:

  • Key topics: political revenue cadence, RPO growth, 75% auto-generated code, 2028 targets.
  • Buzzwords: “Rule of 67,” “AI-driven marketing cloud replacement cycle,” “vendor consolidation,” “600% ROI,” “SuperGraph.”
  • Red flags: ARPU deceleration, $53M quarterly stock-based comp, Marigold churn, Athena adoption stalls, and any softening of the $1.785 billion revenue midpoint.

Shares trade at $23.64, up 49.6% over the past year and up 4.70% today alone, so expectations are elevated.

Zeta's Bull vs Bear Case Ahead of Tonight's Q2 Earnings

Zeta Global (NYSE:ZETA) heads into tonight’s earnings with a divided setup. Here’s how each side is framing it.

Bull Case

  • Athena drove 7x more agentic interactions and 60% of AI platform usage in its first week, with minimal contribution baked into guidance.
  • Super-Scaled ARPU hit $1.7M, up 21% YoY, and the sales pipeline is up 40% year-over-year.
  • CFO flagged results pacing to the high end of full-year GAAP EPS guidance.

Bear Case

  • Beat magnitudes have narrowed from 7% to 2.89% across recent quarters.
  • Organic growth ex-Marigold and political runs 22%-23% versus a 36%-37% headline.
  • Stock-based comp hit $53 million in Q1, keeping GAAP losses persistent.
  • Shares already up 49.6% over one year raise the bar for a reaction.

Tonight Could Mark Zeta's 20th Consecutive Beat-and-Raise Quarter

Zeta Global reports Q2 2026 results after guiding for revenue between $419-$422 million, representing 36% to 37% year-over-year growth.

The company’s Athena AI platform will take center stage, with investors looking for proof that rising adoption is translating into meaningful revenue.

Super-Scaled Customer average revenue per user will offer another important signal about whether Zeta is successfully expanding its largest enterprise relationships.

Zeta shares are up 5% intraday to $23.62 and have already gained 49.6% over the past year. Wall Street remains firmly bullish, with 12 buy ratings, two holds, no sells, and a consensus price target of $28.68, implying 22.15% upside.

Another guidance increase, paired with evidence that Athena is driving monetization, would strengthen Zeta’s AI replacement-cycle thesis. A weaker report could reopen questions about how quickly growth will normalize once political spending and the Marigold acquisition’s tailwinds begin fading.

Zeta Global (NYSE:ZETA) is expected to report Q2 2026 results tonight at around 4:05 PM ET. The AI marketing cloud enters the earnings report riding a 19 consecutive quarter streak of beat-and-raises.

Momentum Meets a Higher Bar

Last quarter, Zeta posted revenue of $396.30 million, growing 49.9% year over year and clearing consensus by 7.00%. Adjusted EBITDA reached $66.14 million, and free cash flow rose 30% to $41.68 million.

Super-Scaled Customers hit 189, with ARPU climbing 21% to $1.70 million. Since then, the stock is up 10.86% year-to-date and 8.99% over the past month, with sentiment tilting bullish.

Consensus Estimates

Metric Q2 2026 Guide YoY Change FY 2026 Guide
Revenue $419M-$422M +36% to 37% $1,779M-$1,792M
Adj. EBITDA $86.2M-$86.9M Margin 20.4%-20.8% $396.2M-$398.4M
Free Cash Flow N/A N/A $234.5M-$235.5M

Tonight’s setup implies a deceleration in growth from Q1’s 49.9% pace, though organic growth ex-Marigold and political still lands at 22%-23%. Management is guiding to positive GAAP net income for the full year, suggesting this quarter could mark a real inflection.

Athena Traction and Margin Discipline Take Center Stage

Tonight, I’ll be watching Athena adoption data closely. In its first week of general availability, Athena drove 60% of AI usage on Zeta’s platform and a 7x increase in agentic interactions. CEO David Steinberg framed it plainly: “Zeta is the disruptor in the AI-driven replacement cycle.”

Analysts will also focus on Super-Scaled Customer ARPU and multi-use case penetration. Last quarter, customers using multiple use cases grew over 50% year-over-year, and net retention stayed above the 110% to 115% target range. Any deceleration here would test the AI thesis.

I’ll also track the adjusted EBITDA margin against the 20.4%-20.8% guide, plus the Marigold integration synergies flagged by CFO Christopher Greiner. Stock-based comp of $53 million in Q1 remains a governance overhang worth monitoring. Pipeline commentary matters, too, with management citing a 40% year-over-year increase in pipeline.

Earnings History

Quarter Revenue Beat Earnings Day 1-Week After 30-Day After
Q1 2026 +7.00% +0.98% -7.85% +25.11%
Q4 2025 +4.06% +5.12% +5.1% -18.49%
Q3 2025 +2.89% +19.4% +2.66% -3.81%
Q2 2025 +3.96% +27.47% -8.85% -8.21%

On average, shares moved -2.23% in the week after earnings over the past year.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

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Photo of Thomas Richmond
About the Author Thomas Richmond →

Thomas Richmond is a financial writer and content strategist with 5+ years of experience covering stocks and financial markets. He has published over 250 articles focused on individual stock analysis, helping investors better understand business fundamentals, stock valuations, and long-term opportunities.

Thomas previously served as a Content Lead at TIKR, a stock research platform, where he helped scale the company’s blog to hundreds of articles per month and contributed to a weekly newsletter reaching more than 100,000 investors.

He specializes in breaking down complex companies into clear, actionable insights for everyday investors, with a focus on fundamentals-driven research.

His work has also been featured on platforms including Seeking Alpha and Sure Dividend.

Outside of work, Thomas enjoys weight lifting and soccer.

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