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Live: Will MongoDB Crush Q2 Earnings Tonight After the Market Closes?

By Thomas Richmond · Updated Sep 1, 4:51pm ET · Published Sep 1, 3:04pm ET

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MongoDB's Q2 Earnings Coverage Wrap-Up

That wraps up our initial coverage of MongoDB’s results. Thank you for stopping by!

MongoDB Plummets 13% on Q2 Earnings Results

MongoDB just reported earnings, with shares initially down 13% following the report. Here are the key numbers:

  • Revenue: $772 million vs. $734 million expected
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.90 vs. $1.61 expected
  • RPO: $1.52 billion, up 91% year over year
  • Atlas Revenue: $566 million, up 29% year over year

Guidance:

  • FY27 Revenue: $3.01 billion vs. $2.96 billion expected
  • FY27 EPS: $6.49 vs. $6.13 expected

Quick Read:

  • A strong beat-and-raise isn’t enough: MongoDB topped revenue and EPS expectations and lifted its full-year outlook above consensus, yet shares initially plunged 13%.
  • Atlas growth remains strong at 29%: With RPO surging 91%, the selloff suggests expectations and valuation were simply extremely high after the stock’s sharp run into earnings, rather than an obvious deterioration in headline fundamentals.

The Guidance Wall Street Wants From MongoDB Tonight

Wall Street models Q2 revenue near $734.4M and EPS of $1.609, sitting right at the top of MongoDB‘s (NASDAQ:MDB) own guide of $729M to $734M and $1.58 to $1.61. CFO Mike Berry said guidance “reflects the true strength of the underlying business” while staying “prudent,” a framework that produced four straight EPS beats.

Bullish: FY27 revenue lifted above $2.96B, Atlas sustained near 29%, and full-year EPS raised above $6.14.

Bearish: An unchanged FY27 range, Atlas decelerating below 27%, or a Q3 view soft versus the $1.5113 consensus.

CFO Mike Berry noted Atlas has “become more predictable” as it scales. RPO of $1.46 billion, up 88% year over year, gives management cover to raise. Anything less than a confident raise risks a repricing.

Top 5 Analyst Questions for MongoDB Ahead of Tonight's Q2 Earnings

Ahead of tonight’s MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB) earnings release, here’s the analyst playbook for the call.

Top 5 Analyst Questions

  • Can Atlas sustain 29% growth as it laps tougher comps?
  • What is real revenue contribution from Voyage AI, Vector Search, and agent memory?
  • How durable is 88% RPO growth as forward visibility?
  • Federal traction after the Clarity Business Solutions acquisition?
  • Path to consistent GAAP profitability given stock-based comp?

Key Topics Management Must Address

  • Magnitude of the FY27 raise above $2.92B-$2.96B
  • Enterprise Advanced decline trajectory
  • Progress under CEO CJ Desai and new CPOs

Buzzwords to Listen For

  • Rule of 40, agentic AI, unified data platform, consumption trends, mission-critical workloads

Red Flags

  • Atlas below 29%, softer Q3 guide, slowing $100K+ ARR customer adds, or macro caution commentary

Bull vs Bear Case for MongoDB Ahead of Q1 Earnings

Bull Case: Why MongoDB Could Beat and Rally

  • Atlas grew 29.4% year-over-year in Q1 with RPO up 88% to $1.46 billion, signaling durable forward visibility.
  • Polymarket assigns a 96.9% probability of a beat, backed by 34 upward EPS revisions and zero cuts in 30 days.
  • Agentic AI wins with Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Zomato, and 11 Labs validate Atlas as a scaled AI backend for enterprise workloads.

Bear Case: Why the Setup Looks Stretched

  • Shares are up 34.34% in a month, leaving little margin for error.
  • Q4 FY26 topped estimates by 12.08%, yet shares plunged 22.24% on guidance concerns.
  • Q3 FY27 consensus saw 28 downward EPS revisions, hinting at a softer second-half setup.
  • Leadership turnover adds execution risk against elevated expectations.

What Wall Street Expects from MongoDB's Q2 Earnings Tonight

MongoDB is expected to report Q2 FY27 earnings at 4:05 PM ET, with management guiding for $729-$734 million in revenue. The bigger question is whether Atlas can sustain the roughly 26% growth management has targeted for the quarter.

Expectations have risen sharply. MongoDB shares are up 34.34% over the past month, while Polymarket traders are assigning a 97.1% probability that the company beats expectations.

That makes guidance especially important. A strong quarter accompanied by a raise that pushes FY27 revenue above $2.96 billion would strengthen the case that MongoDB is becoming a major beneficiary of agentic AI and growing database demand.

In Q4 of FY26, MongoDB topped expectations by 12.08%, yet shares still plunged 22.24%. With the stock rallying into tonight’s print, investors will likely demand both strong results and an improving outlook.

Live coverage has ended. The full story is below.

Full Coverage

The story so far

MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB | MDB Price Prediction) reports Q2 FY27 results today at 4:05 PM ET. The database platform enters the report with a $35.9 billion market cap, with the stock down 3.5% today.

MDB earnings explorer

Momentum Meets a Higher Bar

Last quarter, MongoDB posted $687.6 million in revenue, up 25.25% year over year, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.32 versus a $1.1835 consensus.

Atlas, now roughly 75% of revenue, grew 29.4% and crossed a $2 billion run rate. Free cash flow nearly doubled to $197.5 million, and RPO jumped 88% to $1.46 billion. CEO CJ Desai raised full-year guidance on that strength. Shares have followed through, with MDB rising 43.65% over the past year and trading at $437.47 into the report.

Consensus Estimates

Metric Q2 FY27 Estimate YoY Change FY27 Estimate FY28 Estimate
Revenue $734.4M +24% $2.96B $3.48B
EPS (Normalized) $1.609 +145% $6.13 $7.34

The Q2 EPS bar has climbed from $1.28 ninety days ago to $1.609, with 34 upward revisions in the past 30 days and zero cuts. Consensus now sits above the guidance midpoint, meaning MongoDB effectively needs to clear its own top end to keep the beat streak intact.

What I’m Watching Tonight: Atlas Consumption, AI Workloads, and Margin Leverage

Tonight, I’ll be watching Atlas consumption first. Management guided Q2 Atlas growth to approximately 26%, a deceleration from 29.4%, and CFO Mike Berry described the segment as “more predictable and less sensitive” at scale. Any reacceleration reframes the multiple.

Second, analysts are of course going to be watching AI traction. Desai said “AI adoption of MongoDB technologies across our customer base continues to accelerate,” with vector search “far outpacing overall company growth.” New Adobe, Zomato, and 11 Labs deployments should give management fresh proof points.

Third, margins. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 18% from 16%, and the company targeted approximately 21% at the Q2 high end. Rule of 40 status is on the line.

Fourth, EA. Enterprise Advanced grew 13% last quarter, but management guided to approximately flat EA growth in the second half. Deal timing commentary matters.

Finally, the Clarity acquisition and federal push. Investors want scope on the $10 million annual services contribution and pipeline build.

Earnings History

Quarter EPS Surprise Day-Of Move 1-Day Move 1-Week Move
Q1 FY27 +11.53% +3.03% +20.36% +4.53%
Q4 FY26 +12.08% -22.24% -1.87% +7.05%
Q3 FY26 +66.23% +22.23% +0.98% +3.00%
Q2 FY26 +52.39% +37.96% +7.58% +8.91%
MDB earnings quotes

On average, shares moved 3.39% seven days after earnings over the past year.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Thomas Richmond

Thomas Richmond is a financial writer and content strategist with 5+ years of experience covering stocks and financial markets. He has published over 500 articles focused on individual stock analysis, helping investors better understand business fundamentals, stock valuations, and long-term opportunities.

Thomas previously served as a Content Lead at TIKR, a stock research platform, where he helped scale the company’s blog to hundreds of articles per month and contributed to a weekly newsletter reaching more than 100,000 investors.

Outside of work, Thomas enjoys weight lifting and soccer.

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