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Live: Will Salesforce Continue Its 25% Rally After Tonight’s Q2 Earnings?

By Thomas Richmond · Updated Aug 26, 3:10pm ET · Published Aug 26, 3:12pm ET

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Salesforce’s 25% 1-Month Rally Raises the Bar for Agentforce in Tonight's Q2 Earnings

Salesforce reports fiscal Q2 results tonight with guidance calling for revenue of $11.27 billion to $11.35 billion and earnings of $3.25 to $3.27 per share.

Shares have soared 25.68% over the past month, meaning investors will expect Agentforce growth and rising current remaining performance obligations to justify the rebound.

Salesforce trades at 24x earnings, below its historical premium, because Wall Street remains uncertain that AI can restore double-digit organic growth.

Strong Agentforce annual recurring revenue would strengthen the company’s path toward its $63 billion fiscal 2030 revenue target.

A soft report could quickly unwind the recent rally and raise fresh doubts about Salesforce’s pricing power in the agentic AI era.

This article is updated throughout the trading day. Check back for more.

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The story so far

Salesforce (NYSE:CRM | CRM Price Prediction) is expected to report Q2 FY27 earnings today at 4:00 PM ET after the market closes. With shares at $205.06 and down 21.95% year to date, the report will shed light on whether Agentforce can drive the promised second-half reacceleration.

CRM price target

Rally Meets a Reacceleration Test

Last quarter, Salesforce delivered $11.13 billion in revenue, up 13.27% year over year, and EPS of $3.88, a 24.08% beat. Non-GAAP operating margin reached 34.8%, up 250 basis points, and cRPO climbed to $33.6 billion.

The stock fell 16.31% over the past year and has traded flat today. CFO Robin Washington told investors first-half net new AOV growth would outpace AOV growth and drive organic revenue reacceleration in the second half of FY27.

Consensus Estimates

Metric Q2 FY27 Guide YoY Change FY27 Guide FY30 Target
Revenue $11.27B-$11.35B +10%-11% $45.9B-$46.2B $63B
EPS (Non-GAAP) $3.25-$3.27 Flat to slight $14.06-$14.12 n/a

Growth includes slightly above 4 points from Informatica, meaning organic growth remains mid-single digits. Non-GAAP operating margin is guided at 34.3%, a discipline metric investors will scrutinize alongside AI spend.

Agentforce, Margins, and Backlog Take Center Stage

Tonight, I’ll be watching Agentforce ARR closely. It hit $1.2 billion, up 205% year over year, with combined AI and data ARR at $3.4 billion. Sustaining triple-digit growth here validates Marc Benioff’s claim that “Agentic AI is the biggest growth opportunity for our customers, and for Salesforce.”

Analysts will also be watching cRPO. Management guided for Q2 growth of approximately 13% in constant currency, the cleanest leading indicator of the second-half reacceleration story. I’ll also track Informatica’s contribution after its $444 million Q1 haul, and whether weakness in marketing, commerce, and Tableau deepens.

Tonight, free cash flow matters more than usual. The $25 billion accelerated share repurchase lifted noncurrent debt to $39.3 billion from $10.4 billion, pressuring interest expense. Management guided FCF growth of just 4-5%. Any slippage narrows the payoff from the buyback. Polymarket traders assign a 94.5% probability of an EPS beat, so the setup favors bulls but leaves little room for a subscription miss.

Earnings History

Quarter EPS Surprise Day-of Move 1-Day Move 1-Week Move
Q1 FY27 +24.08% -0.75% +8.47% +7.14%
Q4 FY26 +24.91% +4.03% -2.35% +0.96%
Q3 FY26 +13.57% +3.66% +5.30% +6.02%
Q2 FY26 +4.71% -4.85% +2.77% +0.93%
CRM earnings explorer

On average, shares moved 1.23% seven days after earnings over the past year.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Thomas Richmond

Thomas Richmond is a financial writer and content strategist with 5+ years of experience covering stocks and financial markets. He has published over 250 articles focused on individual stock analysis, helping investors better understand business fundamentals, stock valuations, and long-term opportunities.

Thomas previously served as a Content Lead at TIKR, a stock research platform, where he helped scale the company’s blog to hundreds of articles per month and contributed to a weekly newsletter reaching more than 100,000 investors.

He specializes in breaking down complex companies into clear, actionable insights for everyday investors, with a focus on fundamentals-driven research.

His work has also been featured on platforms including Seeking Alpha and Sure Dividend.

Outside of work, Thomas enjoys weight lifting and soccer.

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