This Company’s Products Kill People, But It Has A 6.2% Yield
Altria's cigarettes kill hundreds of thousands of Americans every year, yet its stock is quietly outperforming the S&P 500 by a wide margin in 2024. The question investors now face says as much about ethics as it does about returns.
Most of Altria’s (NYSE: MO | MO Price Prediction) revenue comes from cigarettes. It owns the world’s most visible cigarette brand. That is, Marlboro, which is a huge part of its revenue. Altria’s image problem is simple. According to the CDC, “Smoking and secondhand smoke exposure cause over 480,000 deaths in the U.S. each year.” The WHO says the figure is 7 million worldwide. This does not include the people whose health is severely damaged by cigarettes.
Altria has an attraction few stocks do. It has a 6.2% dividend and has raised its dividend 61 times over the last 57 years. It has also bought back shares worth tens of billions of dollars over the same period. Its rock-solid balance means that trend will almost certainly continue.
And yield stocks usually have mediocre stock performance. Altria shares are up 27% year to date while the S&P 500’s increase is less than 13%. As the tech sell-off continues, Altria’s stock price advance could accelerate, as investors look for a safe harbor
Altria is not alone among S&P 500 stocks with a yield over 6%. UPS (NYSE: UPS) is on the list. So are General Mills (NYSE: GIS) and Pfizer (NYSE: PFE). People who are squeamish about a tobacco stock have other places to go.
Altria’s finances are mundane but steady. In the most recent quarter, revenue was flat at $6.1 billion. EPS dropped 3% to $1.37. The company also narrowed its guidance for the balance of the year, and it did so at the top of the previously disclosed range.
Altria has also weathered a sharp drop-off in smoking in America. In 1995, 25% of adults smoked. Last year the figure was 10%. The pace of the decline has slowed.
Investors will face a trade-off if the AI stocks sell-off continues. Will they buy the stock of a company with products that kill people?
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