Conagra Has Already Cut Its Dividend. Can Kraft Heinz Avoid the Same Fate?
Two packaged-food giants both bleed red ink on paper, both offer yields that would make most retirees salivate, yet one has already slashed its payout while the other keeps insisting it won't. The cash flow numbers behind each promise tell…
Conagra Brands (NYSE:CAG | CAG Price Prediction) or Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC): which packaged-food dividend looks safer for retirement-focused investors right now? Both companies report negative trailing EPS, -4.12 for Conagra and -2.87 for Kraft Heinz. Both still yield 8.48% and 6.71%, respectively. Conagra has already cut its dividend. Kraft Heinz has held its payout.
Most of the red ink comes from write-downs. Conagra booked $2.0 billion in non-cash goodwill and brand impairment charges, caused by a sustained decline in its share price. Kraft Heinz recorded $7.4 billion in non-cash goodwill and intangible impairments in its second quarter, down from $9.3 billion in 2025. Those charges show brand values eroding. Whether the dividend survives depends on cash flow, though, and the companies are far apart on that.
Dividend Track Record: Kraft Heinz Wins
Kraft Heinz has paid $0.40 per quarter since 2019, when it cut the payout from $0.625. The payout stayed flat through two straight years of multibillion-dollar impairments.
Conagra paid $0.35 quarterly from July 2023 through April 2026, then halved it to $0.175. Chief Executive John Brase framed the cut as a way to “enhance financial flexibility” and fund brand and supply chain investment. Jim Cramer noted on Mad Money that Conagra was “yielding north of 10%” before the cut, adding: “With very few exceptions, a double-digit dividend yield is a major red flag.” That red flag is the same pattern we broke down in a free guide to the seven warning signs a big yield is about to be cut.
Cash Coverage and Debt: Kraft Heinz Wins
Kraft Heinz generated $3.66 billion of free cash flow in 2025, against $1.898 billion in common dividends. That covers the dividend about 1.9x. In the second quarter, it paid down $1.9 billion of debt and repaid another $1 billion after the quarter closed. It also held $2.42 billion in cash. CFO Andre Maciel put it: “Our balance sheet remains very strong.”
Conagra’s fiscal 2026 free cash flow of $978.7 million covered its $669.7 million dividend bill about 1.5x at the old rate. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, litigation payments drove operating cash flow to-$4.2 million and free cash flow to -$127.9 million. Management expects net leverage of about 4.0x at fiscal year-end. After the cut, the $0.70 annual rate works out to roughly 48% of the center of Conagra’s adjusted EPS guidance. For Kraft Heinz, the figure is about 78%. Conagra got that buffer by cutting its payout, and with leverage near 4.0x, it has little room for errors.
Turnaround Momentum: Kraft Heinz Wins
Kraft Heinz raised its 2026 organic net sales outlook to a decline of 0.5% to 2.0%, improved from 1.5% to 3.5%. It also raised adjusted EPS guidance to $2.03-$2.09 after a fifth consecutive EPS beat. Consumption fell about 2.5% in the second quarter, then improved to roughly minus 1% in July. Emerging Markets sales rose 10.4%.
Conagra beat expectations with first-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.41, against a $0.28 consensus. Even so, it guides fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS to $1.40 to $1.50, down from $1.72. Organic volume declined 2.1%. Share prices show the same split: Kraft Heinz is up 3.12% over the past year, while Conagra is down 14.43%.
Verdict: Kraft Heinz Has the Sturdier Retirement Income Profile
Kraft Heinz wins all three categories. Its payout has been stable since 2019, free cash flow covers the dividend nearly twice, and sales trends are improving. It has real risks of its own. The company guides constant-currency adjusted operating income down 16% to 18% while raising brand investment to about $700 million. In its next earnings report, investors should check whether the July consumption improvement held up.
Conagra’s case rests on a different profile: deep value and turnaround risk, coupled with the higher yield and a payout already reset to a level its guided earnings cover with room to spare.
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Chris Lange is a financial and geopolitical writer with more than a decade of experience covering a myriad of topics. He has published thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St., with past coverage focused heavily on stocks, IPOs, healthcare, defense, global affairs, and technology.
His work has been quoted, or referenced by a number of outlets including Business Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Finance, MSN, The Motley Fool, and many other publications. A graduate of Southwestern University, he studied business with a focus on investments and has previous experience in banking and startups.
When not reading or writing the news, he is following his passion for Lacrosse, playing chess, or building solar projects with his dad.
