Cryptocurrency

XRP Is Back to Where It Traded Two Weeks After the 2024 Election. Has the Entire Rally Disappeared?

XRP has clawed back to the same price it held two weeks after the 2024 election, but the regulatory battles and ETF launches that once fueled its surge are now settled history. Whether that makes $1.40 a historic buying opportunity…

By Sam Daodu
Published October 9, 2026, 2:40pm ET · 3 min read

The Crypto Desk desk. Editor: Sam Daodu.

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Four light-colored wooden blocks arranged on a light gray desk. The first three blocks spell 'XRP' in dark red letters. The fourth block, positioned to the right, shows a bright green upward-pointing triangle on its top face and a bold red downward-pointing triangle on its front face. In the background, a computer monitor displays a light blue screen with a faint green line chart. A calendar, calculator, and water bottle are visible on the desk to the right.
Wooden blocks spelling 'XRP' with indicators for market direction, set against a backdrop of a financial chart, visualize the potential for its price movements by the end of 2026, as discussed in the article. © Uuganbayar / Shutterstock.com

XRP (CRYPTO:XRP) has dropped back down to $1.40, the price it reached in late November 2024, roughly two weeks after the 2024 U.S. election. Back then, XRP climbed from around $0.50 and surged past $2.50 in a matter of weeks.

Now, that entire gain has vanished. As of October 9, 2026, XRP trades at $1.40, down 8% over the past week and 62% from its record high of $3.65 in July 2025. Additionally, it’s below the 2026 opening price of about $1.84, meaning XRP is down for the year. So, has the entire post-election rally been wiped out?

XRP’s Two Post-Election Catalysts Both Arrived

A close-up shot of a silver XRP cryptocurrency coin resting on a stack of gold-colored coins. The background is dark and features blurred green and red lines, resembling an out-of-focus digital stock or crypto chart.

danielberndt / Shutterstock.com

The price surge from $0.50 had two main drivers. Investors were optimistic that the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple would end with a more favorable administration, and they anticipated the launch of U.S. spot XRP funds. Both hopes materialized: the SEC case concluded in August 2025, and the first U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) launched in November 2025.

A spot ETF trades on a stock exchange like a stock and holds XRP directly, letting investors buy the coin through a regular brokerage account. Since launching, these funds have attracted about $1.79 billion, though their value has since dropped to around $1.66 billion as XRP’s price fell.

What XRP Has Lost Since Its ETF Launch

Ripple XRP on cryptocurrency coin with falling crashing graph in background. The cryptocurrency coin is golden and in focus. This is a price concept of Ripple down market.

Useacoin / Shutterstock.com

One factor slowing momentum is Congress’s crypto market bill failing a Senate vote on September 15. This leaves the regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies like XRP unclear. This uncertainty is causing some banks and funds to hold back from participating directly in the market.

Furthermore, the initial buying frenzy around the ETF launch has tapered off. Inflows into the spot XRP funds stalled around $1.71 billion for several weeks in September, as most of the would-be buyers had already made their purchases at the debut.

Is XRP a Bargain at $1.40 or Fairly Valued?

Ripple price increase XRP

BeatingBetting / BY 2.0

On one hand, the argument for why XRP is a bargain starts with its price history. When XRP first reached $1.40 in November 2024, the lawsuit was still ongoing, and there were no U.S. spot funds. Today, buyers can acquire XRP at the same price, with both obstacles removed, suggesting a stronger position than two years ago.

On the other hand, the argument for XRP being fairly priced is just as straightforward. The market has had nearly a year to respond to the end of the lawsuit and the launch of the ETF, yet XRP’s price has still fallen. With a market value of about $89 billion, it seems buyers are paying for a coin that has already benefited from the positive changes, suggesting the price may reflect that reality.

Recent data leaves the question unresolved. XRP has fallen roughly 8% over the past week, despite the catalysts still being in place, and spot XRP funds continued to attract money during this downturn.

Has XRP’s Price Rally Since the 2024 Election Disappeared?

While the price increase has been undone, the progress that led to it remains. A holder who bought XRP at $1.40 in late November 2024 is back to even, yet now benefits from a closed SEC case and active U.S. spot funds. The quick money that drove XRP up to $3.65 has faded, and that buying enthusiasm isn’t currently present.

Two key price levels could help clarify the situation. A weekly close above $1.84, the 2026 opening price, could signal that buyers are starting to appreciate those catalysts again. Conversely, if XRP falls below $1.40 while spot funds continue to receive money, it would suggest the market has already priced in those catalysts fully.

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Sam Daodu

Sam Daodu is a crypto analyst who's spent nearly a decade making blockchain understandable—no easy task when most whitepapers read like fever dreams. He writes for 24/7 Wall St., covering Bitcoin, altcoins, and crypto market analysis for investors. Before crypto, he was a tech writer (back when explaining "the cloud" was peak innovation). Since 2018, he's written for CoinTelegraph, Yahoo Finance, The Block, Cryptonews, Zypto, Rain, and more—basically anywhere people want crypto news without the headache. Sam runs MacLabs Marketing, a content agency for crypto brands tired of sounding like AI wrote their website. He also publishes free crypto education on his site for Web3 enthusiasts who think "gas fees" is a typo. When he's not writing or staring at charts, Sam's either: - Watching anime (currently convinced One Piece has better tokenomics than most altcoins) - At the gym sculpting himself into a Greek god - Listening to the music your mum warned you only bad boys listen to Connect: LinkedIn | Email | MacLabs Marketing

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