ETF

Fidelity Says Retirement Health Care Costs $172,500 Per Person. Medicare Won’t Pay It. These 3 ETFs Will

Photo of Ryne Mauck
By Ryne Mauck Published

Quick Read

  • VHT returned 34% over one year while SPYI's 12% annual yield funds monthly Medicare premiums, together tackling retirement's $173,000 health care gap.

  • Fidelity's $173,000 per-person estimate keeps climbing because medical inflation consistently outpaces headline CPI, demanding a portfolio that grows faster than the invoice.

  • Are you ahead, or behind on retirement? SmartAsset's free tool can match you with a financial advisor in minutes to help you answer that today. Each advisor has been carefully vetted, and must act in your best interests. Don't waste another minute; learn more here.

This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
Fidelity Says Retirement Health Care Costs $172,500 Per Person. Medicare Won’t Pay It. These 3 ETFs Will

© PeopleImages / Getty Images

Fidelity’s latest retirement study puts a hard number on something most planners often underestimate: $172,500 per person for health care in retirement, starting at age 65. Medicare covers a lot, but not everything. The standard Part B premium runs $202.90 a month in 2026, and the Part A hospital deductible is $1,736. Dental, hearing, vision, and most long-term care sit outside the program entirely. To pre-fund that bill without draining your nest egg, you need an investment sleeve doing three jobs at once: owning the sector driving the costs, keeping volatility manageable near withdrawal age, and providing monthly cash to cover premiums. Three ETFs cover all three assignments: the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund ETF Shares (NYSEARCA:VHT), the iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF (CBOE:USMV), and the NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF (CBOE:SPYI).

Why the $172,500 Number Keeps Rising

Health care is now the second largest slice of U.S. consumer spending, behind only housing. Personal spending on health care services hit $3.74 trillion at an annual rate in June 2026, up from $3.54 trillion a year earlier. The Consumer Price Index sits at 332.6, still above the Fed’s comfort zone. Medical inflation typically outruns the headline number, which is why a lump sum today buys less medicine tomorrow. Your portfolio needs to grow faster than the bill.

VHT: Own the Sector Sending You the Invoice

Vanguard’s health care ETF is the cleanest way to hedge the cost curve. When drug prices, hospital rates, and medical device revenues climb, so does VHT. The fund spans pharma, biotech, insurers, providers, and medical devices, and it charges a gross and net expense ratio of 0.09%. That means you keep $991 of every $1,000 working for you. Performance has rewarded the exposure: VHT is up 10.84% year to date, 33.63% over the past 12 months, and 168.54% over the past decade, trading near $316.72. Think of VHT as its own form of policy: if care costs keep rising, your health care sleeve rises with them.

USMV: Keep the Bear Market From Ruining Your Withdrawal Math

Sequence-of-returns risk is the retiree’s silent killer. A 30% drawdown in year one forces you to sell more shares to fund the same premium. USMV screens the U.S. large-cap universe for the lowest-volatility profile, tilting toward utilities, insurers, waste haulers, and consumer staples. Top holdings include Cisco, NVIDIA, Microsoft, Exxon Mobil, Duke Energy, and Berkshire Hathaway, spread across 150-plus positions. The fund manages $22.9 billion in assets, so liquidity is not an issue. Returns have kept pace with the retirement math you actually need: up 7.88% year to date, 10.30% over one year, and 158.67% over the past decade. You get equity growth with less volatility-induced stress when the market wobbles.

SPYI: Turn Your S&P 500 Exposure Into a Monthly Paycheck

Medicare premiums arrive every month, which is why a monthly payer belongs in the plan. SPYI holds S&P 500 stocks and writes call options on the index, converting some upside into cash distributions. The fund has paid $6.31 per share over the trailing 12 months, with a forward annualized rate of $6.36. Recent monthly checks have been steady in the $0.51 to $0.53 range. At a share price of $54.19, that is roughly 11.7% of annualized income. The fund has grown to nearly $6.9 billion in assets and charges a 0.68% expense ratio. Total return has kept up too, with SPYI up 10.66% year to date and 19.08% over the past year. Roughly 400 shares would cover a year of standard Part B premiums with distributions alone.

The Trade-Offs

None of these holdings are without risk. VHT is sector-concentrated, so a bad policy cycle or drug-pricing headline can drag it more than the broad market. USMV lags in rapidly advancing bull markets because the whole point of the fund is to provide a smoother ride. And SPYI’s covered-call overlay caps upside in strong rallies, plus distributions can include return of capital, which affects your cost basis and taxes. However, held together, the three ETFs address different parts of the same retirement challenge: managing healthcare exposure, reducing portfolio volatility, and generating monthly income. That is what a $172,500 problem actually needs.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Photo of Ryne Mauck
About the Author Ryne Mauck →

Ryne Mauck is an individual investor, analyst, and investment writer. Drawing on his experience in financial analysis, municipal bonds, and regulatory compliance, he manages his own portfolio with a focus on ETFs, macroeconomic trends, and value-oriented investment opportunities.

His investment approach is grounded in rational decision-making, downside protection, and independent thinking. Through his work at 24/7 Wall St. and other investment platforms, including Seeking Alpha, he aims to provide readers with clear, research-driven insights into valuation, fundamentals, portfolio construction, and risk management. His goal is to help investors make more informed decisions while maintaining a disciplined long-term approach to investing.

Ryne holds a B.Sc. in Finance and an M.A. in Political Science.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

KKR
KKR Vol: 8,318,514
AXON Vol: 1,493,774
APO Vol: 5,784,962
JBL Vol: 1,443,205
MPC Vol: 3,181,778

Top Losing Stocks

CTRA Vol: 73,319,495
VTR Vol: 4,890,092
DDOG Vol: 4,412,697
HON Vol: 5,435,233
WELL Vol: 3,315,047