A Retiree With the Average $167,970 401(k) Can Buy About $1,000 a Month for Life. The Average One Buys Nothing and Draws $560.
Most retirees sitting on the average 401(k) balance never ask what that money could actually buy as guaranteed monthly income, and the gap between what they could collect and what they do collect reveals a fundamental tension at the heart…
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Where the $167,970 Figure Comes From
The average 401(k) balance reached $167,970 in 2025, according to industry reporting summarized by Briefs Finance in June 2026. That figure sits above other provider datasets. Vanguard’s How America Saves 2025 report put the average balance at $148,153 in 2024, with a median of $38,176. Fidelity’s most recent read in the same window landed in a similar range. Differences across datasets reflect different participant mixes, plan sizes, and reporting periods, but the distribution’s shape is consistent.
Average and Median Tell Different Stories
What Annuitization Actually Means
Why Retirees Rarely Choose Guaranteed Income
Uptake of income annuities remains low even in a higher-rate environment. Clark Howard has said on his podcast that most retirees are best served by a lifetime stream of income, but that low rates in prior years made annuitization “a brutal choice.” Suze Orman has said she has changed her mind on income annuities as rates rose, and does not have a problem with them for retirees looking for guaranteed income. Even so, retirees keep balances invested for several concrete reasons: annuitization is generally irrevocable, it eliminates liquidity for emergencies and long-term care, it leaves nothing to heirs unless a rider is purchased, it carries insurer credit risk, and a level nominal payment loses purchasing power to inflation over a 25 or 30-year retirement.
What Most Retirees Actually Draw
The alternative is percentage-based withdrawal. The safe withdrawal rate, the share of a balance a retiree can pull each year with a high probability of not running out, is commonly anchored to the 4% rule, though that anchor has drawn steady pushback (we laid out the full case against it and the income-first alternative in a free report here). Applied to that same $167,970 average balance, the standard 4% rule generates $6,719 a year, or roughly $560 a month. That is nearly half the monthly cash flow of an annuity, but it keeps the underlying principal liquid, invested, and owned by the retiree. It is a smaller current check than an annuity would cut, but it keeps the balance in the retiree’s name.
Context on Retirement Spending
Neither number covers a full retirement budget. The Bureau of Labor Statistics put average annual household expenditures at $78,535 in 2024. Social Security anchors most retirees’ budgets. The 2027 Social Security COLA is tracking toward 3.1% with one of three Q3 months in, and Social Security transfer receipts ran at an annualized $1,645.4 billion in the second quarter of 2026.
What the Data Shows
The gap between what an average balance could theoretically buy in guaranteed income and what retirees actually withdraw reflects a set of preferences: liquidity, inheritance, control over the balance, and protection against inflation and insurer risk. For households at the median 401(k) balance, guaranteed lifetime income from that account is not really on the menu. For households near the average, the trade-off is genuine, and the observed behavior is to keep the money invested and draw it down slowly.
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