A Pokémon Card Just Sold for $2.7 Million. Social Security Wouldn’t Count the Windfall as Earnings

When a vintage Pokémon card fetches millions at auction, most collectors assume the IRS windfall will gut their Social Security checks. The rules that actually govern this situation are far stranger than anyone expects.

Published October 5, 2026, 10:30am ET · 4 min read

The Full Benefits Desk desk. Editor: Gerelyn Terzo.

This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

Typhoon of hundreds usd dollars banknotes. Money wallpaper background with US dollar bills tornado, whirlwind of dollars hurricane. Flying, levitating american cash.
Typhoon of hundreds usd dollars banknotes. Money wallpaper background with US dollar bills tornado, whirlwind of dollars hurricane. Flying, levitating american cash. © Typhoon of hundreds usd dollars banknotes. Money wallpaper background with US dollar bills tornado, whirlwind of dollars hurricane. Flying, levitating american cash. (Shutterstock.com) by TSViPhoto

A PSA 10 Torchic Gold Star Pokémon card sold for $2.7 million in September. For a 64-year-old collector already receiving Social Security, the question is urgent: will this windfall trigger benefit cuts?

The concern is understandable. Will Social Security treat the sale proceeds like earned income and withhold benefits? The answer depends on whether he is selling as a collector or running a card business.

How a $2.7 Million Sale Can Count as $0 of Earnings

At 64, he is below full retirement age (FRA), which is 67 for anyone born in 1960 or later. The retirement earnings test applies to early claimers. In 2026, the limit is $24,480. Above that, Social Security withholds $1 of benefits for every $2 earned.

The test counts only wages and net self-employment income. Social Security excludes investment earnings, interest, pensions, annuities and capital gains. A collector selling a card held as an investment has a capital gain, so the sale counts as zero toward the limit. His monthly checks continue unchanged.

Why His Taxable Gain Is Smaller Than the Sale Price

The IRS taxes only his profit after costs:

Item Amount
Sale price $2.7 million
What he paid (his basis) $700,000
Auction and selling costs $200,000
Taxable gain $1.8 million
Earnings under Social Security’s test $0

The IRS can treat valuable trading cards as collectibles. If he held the card for more than a year, the gain is long-term and can fall under the 28% maximum rate for collectibles. On a $1.8 million gain, that rate alone could mean as much as $504,000 in federal tax. A separate 3.8% net investment income tax may also apply. At that cap, the federal bill on the gain could reach about $504,000. If he held it for a year or less, the gain is taxed as regular income, which tops out at 37%.

How the Sale Can Make More of His Benefit Taxable

The earnings test ignores capital gains, but taxation of Social Security benefits does not. The IRS looks at “combined income,” which includes adjusted gross income plus nontaxable interest plus half of benefits. A seven-figure gain drives this total sharply higher.

For single filers, benefits become taxable above $25,000 of combined income. Above $34,000, up to 85% of benefits can be taxed.

Married couples filing jointly use $32,000 and $44,000. These thresholds have never been adjusted for inflation.

With a $2,000 monthly benefit, a $1.8 million gain drives him far past both thresholds. Up to $20,400 of that year’s benefit becomes taxable income. He receives every dollar of his check, but far more is taxed.

Medicare premiums could also rise later. If he sells at 64 in 2026, that income would generally be used to determine his 2028 Part B and Part D income-related surcharges.

Collector or Dealer: A Label That Changes the Outcome

This assumes he is a collector selling from his own stash. If he regularly buys and sells cards as a business, profits count as net self-employment income. That income triggers both the earnings test and self-employment tax. When someone collecting survivor benefits asked about selling items online, the answer was direct: “Self employment. Annual earnings test applies to your profit.”

No set number of sales defines a dealer. The key is how he works: whether he buys to resell, frequency of sales, and whether it looks like a business.

Five Numbers to Pin Down Before the Auction Closes

  1. Basis: Proof of purchase price via receipts, auction records, or bank statements is essential. Without good records, proving his basis becomes much harder, which can leave him with a much larger taxable gain.
  2. Holding period: More than one year qualifies for the collectibles cap; a year or less is taxed as regular income.
  3. Selling costs: Auction fees and platform charges reduce taxable gain. Keep the settlement statement.
  4. Collector or business: Selling an investment keeps the earnings test out of play. Running a card business pulls it back in.
  5. Other income: If pensions and withdrawals already exceed the thresholds, the sale’s impact is smaller. If he sits well below them, the jump is sharp.

The $2.7 million headline masks the real surprise: a seven-figure sale can count as $0 of earnings under Social Security’s test yet make far more of his benefit taxable to the IRS. It’s the kind of subtle rule we listed alongside eight others in a free retiree tax trap guide. The toughest mistake to fix is selling before recording basis and holding period. Consulting a tax professional before the sale often pays for itself.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Gerelyn Terzo

Gerelyn Terzo is the author of dividend investing handbook "Dividend Investing Strategies: How to Have Your Cake & Eat It Too." A veteran financial journalist, she covers agri-finance for outlets like Global AgInvesting and the broader stock market and personal finance for 24/7 Wall Street. She began at CNBC and later helped launch Fox Business in New York. Gerelyn currently resides in Woodland Park, Colorado and dabbles in nature photography as a hobby.

All articles →