Despite viewership declining in recent years, the Oscars remain the nation’s most viewed non-football television event. This year’s ceremony – the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences’ 90th – will likely draw more than 30 million television viewers, based on past years’ ratings.
While many watch the show for the glamour, dresses, and the glitz, for many others, all that matters is who takes home the awards. To paint a clearer picture of who might be the night’s victors, Bing Predicts calculated the projected winners in 23 of the awards’ major categories.
The Golden Globes, which took place this past January, are often an excellent predictor of the Oscars. In the Golden Globes, Gary Oldman won best actor for his performance in “Darkest Hour,” and Frances McDormand won best actress for her work in “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Bing Predicts also favors these actors as winners in these categories.
Similarly, Bing Predicts anticipates “The Shape of Water” director Guillermo del Toro to take home the Oscar for best director — as he did at the Golden Globes. He has a 56% chance of doing so, far ahead of the 17% odds of the second most likely winner Christopher Nolan for his work on “Dunkirk.”
The competition in certain categories is a bit tighter. For instance, “The Shape of Water” has 30% odds of taking home best picture, narrowly beating out “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” which has 23% odds. Similarly, while “Blade Runner 2049” is favored to win the best visual effects award with 41% odds, it would not be surprising if “War for the Planet of the Apes” wins it with its 35% odds.