Special Report

These Are the 24 Jobs You Are Most Likely to Lose

Source: kali9 / E+ via Getty Images

24. Crossing guards
> Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 16.4%
> Employment, 2018: 81,700
> Employment, 2028: 86,300
> 10-yr projected employment chg.: +4,600 (+5.6%)
> Median annual wage: $29,760

According to Bureau of Labor Statistics projections, an average of about 16.4% of all crossing guards working in the United States will leave the job every year through 2028. Of the 1,500 Americans expected to leave the job annually, about 1,100 will likely move on to other occupations and 400 will leave the labor force entirely.

As is the case with the majority of jobs Americans are most likely to quit, crossing guards wages are relatively low. The median wage of a crossing guard is less than $30,000 a year, while the median annual wage across all occupations is about $40,000.

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23. Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors
> Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 16.6%
> Employment, 2018: 356,900
> Employment, 2028: 402,500
> 10-yr projected employment chg.: +45,700 (+12.8%)
> Median annual wage: $40,390

Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors is one of several physically demanding occupations to rank on this list. These workers typically conduct training sessions in any number of environments, including gyms, studios, and clients’ homes — often working on nights, weekends, and holidays. Each year through 2028, about 16.6% of fitness trainers and aerobics instructors are projected to leave their job — either retiring or switching careers.

In much of the country, gyms and fitness centers have been shut-down for months as a part of the effort to contain the spread of the coronavirus. Many of these facilities will likely not reopen, and as a result, turnover among fitness trainers and aerobics instructors this year could be far higher than projected.

Source: kali9 / E+ / Getty Images

22. Recreation workers
> Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 16.6%
> Employment, 2018: 408,300
> Employment, 2028: 442,000
> 10-yr projected employment chg.: +33,800 (+8.3%)
> Median annual wage: $26,350

Recreation workers lead activities in summer camps, recreation centers, nursing care facilities, parks, and more. About one in six people in this field are projected to leave the occupation annually between 2018 and 2028, amounting to over 70,600 people per year.

Most of the people leaving their jobs as recreational workers are switching jobs, not leaving the labor force altogether. This may be due in part to the fact that the typical recreation worker earns just $26,350, well below the median annual wage of $39,810 for all jobs.

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21. Hotel, motel, and resort desk clerks
> Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 16.9%
> Employment, 2018: 265,400
> Employment, 2028: 248,700
> 10-yr projected employment chg.: -16,700 (-6.3%)
> Median annual wage: $24,470

The number of hotel, motel, and resort desk clerk occupations is projected to decline from 265,400 to 248,700 by 2028. The job’s high turnover rate may be due in part to layoffs, as it is one of six occupations on this list expected to lose jobs by 2028.

Desk clerks are in one of the lowest paying jobs in the country, with a median annual wage of $24,470. It is one of less than two dozen jobs in the country with a median annual wage below $25,000.

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20. Models
> Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 17.1%
> Employment, 2018: 3,600
> Employment, 2028: 3,400
> 10-yr projected employment chg.: -200 (-5.7%)
> Median annual wage: $28,350

Models pose for artists and photographers, often to advertise a product. Unlike many jobs with lower turnover, models’ work schedules tend to be inconsistent and less predictable, and the job requires no formal education. Models often must fit within a certain height and weight range. Every year between now and 2028, the BLS projects that about 400 models will retire and another 200 will transfer to a new career.

With the emergence of social media and new marketing strategies, demand for models is projected to decline in the coming years. The number of models working in the United States is projected to decline by 6% between 2018 and 2028.

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